On Sunday, when I first saw Arnold Morley after receiving your note,
he vowed that it was all agreed to, and as I told you I wrote down
the three points in his presence. When he came in the evening, after
having sent to Mr. Gladstone, he explained that it was impossible
absolutely to say that Mr. Gladstone would pledge himself to bring in
the Third Clause, because he had not framed any Clause, and could not
give a definite promise until he knew whether he could frame it. I
urged him not to leave {344} Mr. Gladstone until he had framed it,
and there was a Cabinet on Monday. Still it was not framed. Hence
Mr. Gladstone's extraordinary shilly-shally speech. They all
perceived what fools they had been, except those who were anxious
that no agreement should be come to with you (notably Harcourt who is
playing for the succession), and it was hoped that Herschell would be
able to smooth down matters. There was to be a Cabinet on Thursday,
and I think the Clause would have been framed, only by this time they
did not see why they should yield, if concession would not ensure the
Bill, and Mr. Gladstone (as usual) thought that time should be taken
to see how things developed themselves.
In the House, as you know, there is a feeling that the Bill should be
read as a declaration of the principle of "a local legislature," and
nothing more. Mr. Gladstone has not said a word about this. It
would be a bitter pill, and he is just now in a prophetic state of
belief that, if he dissolves, he will carry everything before him.
What the Constituencies will do, neither you, nor he, nor any one
else can predicate. It may be that with the Irish vote, the desire
to settle, the belief in him, and the notion that he has been treated
ungenerously, he will win. My impression is that we shall be much as
we are, except that the Tories will be strengthened at the expense of
the Liberal and Radical seceders.
Now, I put this to you for my private information. It is no proposal
from Government. They hold that you are irreconcilable, and are
sulking. Supposing that he would withdraw the Bill after Second
Reading, could you have a better and a bigger triumph? Read
Salisbury's speech. Does this look like real union? Randolph is
used to promise privately, but Salisbury has a vague idea of honour,
and so he explains what such promises are worth.
Of course I don't know what Hartington promises.[9] But {345} does
he love you? No. The Whigs are all running about boasting how they
have you in their toils.
You may believe me or not, but I really do want to see a way to a
reconciliation, because I want you to be our leader. A
reconciliation is still possible on the basis of withdrawing the Bill
after reading it a second time. To withdraw it before would be too
much humble pie, and Mr. Gladstone sees--and no doubt you do--that
this would ruin him. Moreover, the man has some feeling in the
matter.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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