Khalkas is vague at present--her indignation is clear and easily defined
at Russia retaining possession of Kuldja after she has demanded its
restoration. In short, all her apprehension along the northern frontier,
which has slumbered, but never died out, since the Russians seized the
Amoor posts during the Crimean War, is reduced to a focus in Central
Asia, where Russia appears inclined to throw herself in the path of, or
at least to retard, their victorious career. It is not so much the
Kuldja question, which is of local importance, that is of pressing
moment, as the rupture between Russia and China, that a crisis in the
Issik Kul region will make complete. That rupture has already taken
place, and no concession on the part of Russia will restore her good
name with the Chinese. She may hand Kuldja over now, or she may keep it
by the strong arm if she can; but she has forfeited all claim to
consideration by the Chinese, through delaying to accede to that which
those people consider in every sense their right and due. Had Russia at
once said to China, "We will abandon Kuldja, and only require you to
guarantee the safety of the population," there would have been not only
the preservation of the good understanding between the countries, but
there might have been, for fresh purposes, a Russo-Chinese alliance in
Central Asia. That alliance must have been fraught with danger to this
country, and for reasons that will best be described under the head of
Anglo-Chinese relations.
But the Russian authorities failed to grasp the situation in its full
extent. They treated the Kuldja question as a mere local affair, and
they trifled with the Chinese as if the latter had no very strong
interest in the matter. They altogether ignored the terrible earnestness
of the Chinese character, and they treated the demands of Tso Tsung Tang
in a spirit of levity that must have roused the ire of that general.
Their policy, regarded from any point of view, was shallow and unwise,
but, bearing in mind the past tact and diplomatic skill shown by Russia
in her dealings with China, it must appear more shallow and foolish. Of
course this Kuldja question differs from all previous questions in the
essential point of all, that here for the first time Russia had to go
back instead of advancing, as always had been the case heretofore. The
Russian authorities simply regarded the matter from the point of view
of what effect it would have upon the peoples of Central Asia. They
persuaded themselves that to hand over Kuldja would be to give an
impetus to every hostile element in Western Turkestan, as well as to
lower their prestige generally throughout Asia. As a leading Russian
paper expressed it, "the retrocession of Kuldja would be an act of
political suicide, for not only would it raise the prestige of China to
a higher point than ever before, but it would also undermine our
position in Eastern Asia, by giving the Chinese a strong military
position within our natural frontier.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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