The Logic of Chance, 3rd edition: An Essay on the Foundations and Province of the Theory of Probability, With Especial Reference to Its Logical Bearings and Its Application to Moral and Social Science and to StatisticsVenn, John
Philosophy
The Logic of Chance, 3rd edition: An Essay on the Foundations and Province of the Theory of Probability, With Especial Reference to Its Logical Bearings and Its Application to Moral and Social Science and to Statistics
Venn, John
Chance; Logic, Symbolic and mathematical; Probabilities; Science -- Methodology
11. The subject was sometimes altogether omitted, as by Wolf. He says
a good deal however about probable propositions and syllogisms, and,
like Leibnitz before him, looked forward to a "logica probabilium"
as something new and desirable. I imagine that he had been
influenced by the writers on Chances, as of the few who had already
treated that subject nearly all the most important are referred to
in one passage (_Philosophia Rationalis sive Logica_, §593).
Lambert stands quite apart. In this respect, as in most others where
mathematical conceptions and symbols are involved, his logical
attitude is thoroughly unconventional. See, for instance, his
chapter 'Von dem Wahrscheinlichen', in his _Neues Organon_.
12. I cannot find the slightest authority for the statement in the
elaborate history of Logic by Prantl.
13. "Hi quatuor modi magnam censeri solent analogiam habere cum
quadruplici propositionum in quantitate et qualitate varietate"
(Wallis's _Instit. Logic._ Bk. II. ch. 8).
14. _Laws of Thought_, §118.
15. "Haud scio magis ne doctrinam modalium scholastici exercuerint,
quam ea illos vexarit. Certe usque adeo sudatum hic fuit, ut
dicterio locus sit datus; _De modalibus non gustabit asinus_."
Keckermann, _Syst. Log._ Bk. II. ch. 3.
16. _Smiglecii Disputationes_, Ingolstadt, 1618.
See also Prantl's _Geschichte der Logik_ (under _Occam_ and
_Buridan_) for accounts of the excessive complication which the
subtlety of those learned schoolmen evolved out of such suitable
materials.
17. Translation by T. M. Lindsay, p. 439.
18. "The εἰκòς and σημεῖον themselves are propositions; the former
stating a _general probability_, the latter a fact, which is known
to be an indication, more or less certain, of the truth of some
further statement, whether of a single fact, or of a general
belief. The former is a general proposition, nearly, though not
quite, universal; as 'most men who envy hate'; the latter is a
_singular_ proposition, which however is not regarded as a sign,
except relatively to some other proposition, which it is supposed
may by inferred from it." (Mansel's Aldrich; Appendix F, where an
account will be found of the Aristotelian enthymeme, and dialectic
syllogism. Also, of course, Grote's Aristotle, _Topics_ and
elsewhere.)
19. "Nam in hoc etiam differt demonstratio, sen demonstrativa
argumentatio, à probabili, quia in illâ tam conclusio quam præmissæ
necessariæ sunt; in probabili autem argumentatione sicut conclusio
ut probabilis infertur ita præmissæ ut probabiles afferuntur"
(Crackanthorpe, Bk. V., Ch. 1); almost the words with which De
Morgan distinguishes between logic and probability in a passage
already cited (see Ch. VI. §3).
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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