The Monist, Vol. 3, 1892-1893 : $b A quarterly magazineVarious
Philosophy
The Monist, Vol. 3, 1892-1893 : $b A quarterly magazine
Various
Philosophy -- Periodicals
While absolute chance cannot be admitted, partly because we are not in
need of it, (since the irregularities of nature can be sufficiently
explained otherwise,) and partly because the idea of absolute chance if
it were needed, is incompatible with our world-conception, we shall,
nevertheless, have to concede to chance, as we understand the term, a
very important rôle in the evolution of life. The formation of worlds and
the history of mankind depend to a great extent upon chances similar to
the throws of dice. There are many possibilities, and now this, now that,
will, according to the circumstances, be realised—of course in each case
with strict necessity.
Let us illustrate this idea by an example.
The formation of about seventy elements out of the original
world-substance, which may be supposed to be homogeneous, does not appear
to depend upon chance. Their universal appearance in all parts of the
universe suggests the hypothesis that their formation is the inevitable
result of a gradual condensation of nebular substances. We find
everywhere, according to the stage of condensation, a gradual appearance,
first of the lighter, then of the heavier elements. There seems to be
no possibility of the formation of other elements than those known to
us (including here the hypothetical elements which are still missing in
the Mendeljeff series and at the same time, at least, not excluding a
further continuance of the series). These elements or none, it appears,
must be formed out of the original substance of our world. Let us here
assume, for argument’s sake, that it were so beyond question, and that we
knew the nature of the world-substance to be such as to condense, if it
condenses at all, into no other but these forms, which we call chemical
elements. This would be a limitation of possibilities. Exactly so the
throws Of dice are limited. With the dice commonly in use we cannot throw
fractions; nor can we throw either zero, or seven, or any other higher
number. We can throw only whole numbers, integrals from one up to six.
But while we thus assume that the formation of the elements is limited
to those actually existing, the proportion in which the elements may be
distributed in the different nebulæ and solar systems, is apparently
very different. Suppose we had a full knowledge of the intrinsic nature
of the world-substance and were standing outside the universe observing
the process of world-formations; we could not from this knowledge alone
predict all that would happen. We should on our assumption be able to
predict _a priori_ that such elements would be formed. But whether the
different elements would be generated in these or in other proportions
appears to depend upon the presence of certain conditions, perhaps the
rapidity of motion, the heat produced by friction, the temperature of
the surrounding cosmic space, any knowledge of which is not included in
our knowledge of the nature of the world-substance. These conditions
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