The Philosophy of Health; Volume 1 (of 2): or, an exposition of the physical and mental constitution of manSmith, Southwood
Philosophy
The Philosophy of Health; Volume 1 (of 2): or, an exposition of the physical and mental constitution of man
Smith, Southwood
Hygiene; Physiology
between 15 and 26 there would die 11,494
25 and 36 " " " 17,071
35 and 46 " " " 21,960
45 and 56 " " " 30,493
55 and 66 " " " 40,708
65 and upwards " " " 44,643
Thus the risk of life from this malady is twice as great at the age
of thirty-one as it is at eleven. It is also nearly twice as great
at forty-one as it is at twenty-one. It is five times as great at
sixty-one as it is at eleven, and nearly four times as great above
sixty-five as it is at twenty-one.
From the whole of the foregoing statements, it is manifest that life is
a fluctuating quantity. In order to compare this fluctuating quantity
under different circumstances, writers on this branch of statistics use
several terms, the exact meaning of which it is desirable to explain.
It is, for example, very important to have a clear understanding of
what is meant by such expressions as the following: the expectation,
the probability, the value, the decrement of life, and the law of
mortality.
1. THE EXPECTATION OF LIFE. It is important to bear in mind that
several expressions in common use have a signification perfectly
synonymous with this: namely, _share of existence_; _mean duration of
life_; _la vie moyenne_.
By these terms is expressed the total number of years, including also
the fractional parts of a year, ordinarily attained by human beings
from and after any given age. Suppose, for example, that one thousand
persons enter on the eighty-sixth year of their age: suppose the
number of years and days which each one of them lives afterwards be
observed and recorded; suppose the number ultimately attained by each
be formed into a sum total; suppose this total be divided equally among
the thousand, the quotient of this division is said to be each one's
share of existence, or his mean duration of life, or his expectation
of life. Thus, of the thousand persons in the present case supposed
to commence the age of eighty-five, suppose the number of years they
collectively attain amount to 3,500 years: the one-thousandth part of
3,500 is three and a half: three years and a half then is said to be
the expectation of life at the age of eighty-five, because, of all the
persons originally starting, this is the equal share of existence that
falls to the lot of each.
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