The Principles of Economics, with Applications to Practical ProblemsFetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
General
The Principles of Economics, with Applications to Practical Problems
Fetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
Economics
1. _In a broad sense, a crisis is a decisive moment or turning point;
hence, in industry, a collapse of prosperity._ In the course of a fever
the crisis is the point where there is a turn for the better or for the
worse. The figure of speech as applied to industrial conditions would
seem to fail, in that what precedes is apparently exuberant health, not
disease. Business conditions do not move along uniformly. There are
waves of prosperity. Profits are apparently great, then may be suddenly
swept away. The profits of the prosperous time are partly illusory, or
exist only on paper. The situation has all the unhealthiness of the
fever-patient. Men trade in promises and when the crisis comes, they
have only promises for profits. The discussion of business management
and profits is not complete without a consideration of this rhythmic
movement of confidence and prices.
A crisis in the business affairs of an individual, in the sense of a
collapse of prosperity, may occur from many mischances. A local crisis
may be felt in some one neighborhood as a result of flood, of fire, or
of other accidents. Such a case was that which occurred in 1864, in
Manchester, England, when the cotton factories were compelled to close
because the supply of cotton was cut off by the blockade of the ports of
the South in the Civil War. Such a local crisis sometimes results from a
change of transportation, throwing a town out of the line of trade.
These have been mentioned in discussing chance and risk; but the
phenomenon known generally as an industrial crisis is of wider extent
and of a more peculiar nature.
[Sidenote: Various types of crises]
2. _In a more special sense a financial crisis is the confusion and loss
that mark the end of a period of rising prices; an industrial depression
is the period of hard times that follows._ The word crisis suggests a
brief period, a moment, something that is severe, sudden, and soon over.
The term financial panic is frequently used as a synonym for financial
crisis. A crisis in the narrower sense has to do with prices--is always
connected with money in some way. While, therefore, crises may be
divided into industrial, speculative, and financial, according to their
immediate occasion, all of them are financial in the sense that they
have to do with a change in the general price level. A crisis is a jolt
to prices which shatters the credit of some banks, brokers, merchants,
and manufacturers. Crises are thus peculiar to the money economy and to
a developed industry. Not every business misfortune is to be called an
industrial crisis, but only those where prices and credit are generally
depressed. A long period of hard times is sometimes called a crisis, but
it is better to distinguish it by the term industrial depression.
[Sidenote: Industrial conditions preceding a crisis]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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