The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
The Laws of Thought are the first and most important of all the laws
which govern the combinations of phenomena, and, though they be binding
on the mind, they may also be regarded as verified in the external
world. The Logical Alphabet develops the utmost variety of things and
events which may occur, and it is evident that as each new quality is
introduced, the number of combinations is doubled. Thus four qualities
may occur in 16 combinations; five qualities in 32; six qualities in
64; and so on. In general language, if n be the number of qualities,
2^{n} is the number of varieties of things which may be formed from
them, if there be no conditions but those of logic. This number,
it need hardly be said, increases after the first few terms, in an
extraordinary manner, so that it would require 302 figures to express
the number of combinations in which 1,000 qualities might conceivably
present themselves.
If all the combinations allowed by the Laws of Thought occurred
indifferently in nature, then science would begin and end with those
laws. To observe nature would give us no additional knowledge, because
no two qualities would in the long run be oftener associated than any
other two. We could never predict events with more certainty than we
now predict the throws of dice, and experience would be without use.
But the universe, as actually created, presents a far different and
much more interesting problem. The most superficial observation shows
that some things are constantly associated with other things. The more
mature our examination, the more we become convinced that each event
depends upon the prior occurrence of some other series of events.
Action and reaction are gradually discovered to underlie the whole
scene, and an independent or casual occurrence does not exist except
in appearance. Even dice as they fall are surely determined in their
course by prior conditions and fixed laws. Thus the combinations of
events which can really occur are found to be comparatively restricted,
and it is the work of science to detect these restricting conditions.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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