The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
Suppose that we wish to determine the number of ways in which we can
select a group of three letters out of the alphabet, without allowing
the same letter to be repeated. At the first choice we can take any
one of 26 letters; at the next step there remain 25 letters, any one
of which may be joined with that already taken; at the third step
there will be 24 choices, so that apparently the whole number of ways
of choosing is 26 × 25 × 24. But the fact that one choice succeeded
another has caused us to obtain the same combinations of letters in
different orders; we should get, for instance, *a*, *p*, *r* at one
time, and *p*, *r*, *a* at another, and every three distinct letters
will appear six times over, because three things can be arranged in
six permutations. To get the number of combinations, then, we must
divide the whole number of ways of choosing, by six, the number of
permutations of three things, obtaining (26 × 25 × 24)/(1 × 2 × 3) or
2,600.
It is apparent that we need the doctrine of combinations in order
that we may in many questions counteract the exaggerating effect of
successive selection. If out of a senate of 30 persons we have to
choose a committee of 5, we may choose any of 30 first, any of 29 next,
and so on, in fact there will be 30 × 29 × 28 × 27 × 26 selections;
but as the actual character of the members of the committee will not
be affected by the accidental order of their selection, we divide by
1 × 2 × 3 × 4 × 5, and the possible number of different committees will
be 142,506. Similarly if we want to calculate the number of ways in
which the eight major planets may come into conjunction, it is evident
that they may meet either two at a time or three at a time, or four or
more at a time, and as nothing is said as to the relative order or
place in the conjunction, we require the number of combinations. Now
a selection of 2 out of 8 is possible in (8 . 7)/(1 . 2) or 28 ways;
of 3 out of 8 in (8 . 7 . 6)/(1 . 2 . 3) or 56 ways; of 4 out of 8 in
(8 . 7 . 6 . 5)/(1 . 2 . 3 . 4) or 70 ways; and it may be similarly
shown that for 5, 6, 7, and 8 planets, meeting at one time, the numbers
of ways are 56, 28, 8, and 1. Thus we have solved the whole question
of the variety of conjunctions of eight planets; and adding all the
numbers together, we find that 247 is the utmost possible number of
modes of meeting.
In general algebraic language, we may say that a group of *m* things
may be chosen out of a total number of *n* things, in a number of
combinations denoted by the formula
(*n* . (*n*-1)(*n*-2)(*n*-3) .... (*n* - *m* + 1))/(1 . 2 . 3 . 4 .... *m*)
The extreme importance and significance of this formula seems to have
been first adequately recognised by Pascal, although its discovery
is attributed by him to a friend, M. de Ganières.[99] We shall find
it perpetually recurring in questions both of combinations and
probability, and throughout the formulæ of mathematical analysis traces
of its influence may be noticed.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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