The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
All inductive reasoning is but the inverse application of deductive
reasoning. Being in possession of certain particular facts or events
expressed in propositions, we imagine some more general proposition
expressing the existence of a law or cause; and, deducing the
particular results of that supposed general proposition, we observe
whether they agree with the facts in question. Hypothesis is thus
always employed, consciously or unconsciously. The sole conditions to
which we need conform in framing any hypothesis is, that we both have
and exercise the power of inferring deductively from the hypothesis to
the particular results, which are to be compared with the known facts.
Thus there are but three steps in the process of induction:--
(1) Framing some hypothesis as to the character of the general law.
(2) Deducing consequences from that law.
(3) Observing whether the consequences agree with the particular facts
under consideration.
In very simple cases of inverse reasoning, hypothesis may seem
altogether needless. To take numbers again as a convenient
illustration, I have only to look at the series,
1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, &c.,
to know at once that the general law is that of geometrical
progression; I need no successive trial of various hypotheses, because
I am familiar with the series, and have long since learnt from what
general formula it proceeds. In the same way a mathematician becomes
acquainted with the integrals of a number of common formulas, so
that he need not go through any process of discovery. But it is none
the less true that whenever previous reasoning does not furnish the
knowledge, hypotheses must be framed and tried (p. 124).
There naturally arise two cases, according as the nature of the
subject admits of certain or only probable deductive reasoning.
Certainty, indeed, is but a singular case of probability, and the
general principles of procedure are always the same. Nevertheless,
when certainty of inference is possible, the process is simplified.
Of several mutually inconsistent hypotheses, the results of which can
be certainly compared with fact, but one hypothesis can ultimately
be entertained. Thus in the inverse logical problem, two logically
distinct conditions could not yield the same series of possible
combinations. Accordingly, in the case of two terms we had to choose
one of six different kinds of propositions (p. 136), and in the case
of three terms, our choice lay among 192 possible distinct hypotheses
(p. 140). Natural laws, however, are often quantitative in character,
and the possible hypotheses are then infinite in variety.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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