The Story of a Great Delusion in a Series of Matter-of-Fact ChaptersWhite, William
History
The Story of a Great Delusion in a Series of Matter-of-Fact Chapters
White, William
Vaccination
Burials from all Diseases. From Smallpox.
1701 20,471 1095
1702 19,481 311
1703 20,720 898
1704 22,684 1501
1705 22,097 1095
1706 19,847 721
1707 21,600 1078
1708 21,291 1687
1709 21,800 1024
1710 24,620 3138
1711 19,833 915
1712 21,198 1943
1713 21,057 1614
1714 26,569 2810
1715 22,232 1057
1716 24,436 2427
1717 23,446 2211
1718 26,523 1884
1719 28,347 3229
1720 25,454 1440
1721 26,142 2375
1722 25,750 2167
------- ------
505,598 36,620
By these tables [wrote Dr. Jurin] it appears that upwards of 7
per cent., or somewhat more than a fourteenth part of mankind,
die of the smallpox; and consequently the hazard of dying of that
distemper, to every individual born into the world, is at least
that of 1 in 14.[33]
This large induction from London to universal mankind is
noteworthy, because, as we shall see, it came to be often made,
and involved a serious fallacy; for unless universal mankind
dwelt in conditions similar to Londoners, it was idle to infer a
common rate of disease and mortality. The population of London in
1701 was estimated at about 500,000 (there was no exact census),
rising to about 600,000 in 1720. It was closely packed and lodged
over cess-pools; the water supply was insufficient, and there was
no effective drainage. The vast multitude was disposed, as if by
design, for the generation and propagation of zymotic disease,
and specially smallpox. Little attention was paid to personal
cleanliness, and still less to ventilation, to light, to exercise.
The condition of a large urban community a century ago is almost
inconceivable at the present day. Londoners were then only slowly
and blindly rising out of those modes of existence which made the
Plague of 1665, and other plagues, possible. Hence we need not be
astonished that smallpox was a common and persistent affliction;
but it was less prevalent and less deadly than it is the custom
to assert; and had the disease not been attended with injury to
feminine beauty, there might have been no more fuss made about it
than about any other form of eruptive fever.
It has also to be observed, that smallpox as a cause of death was
probably much exaggerated in the Bills of Mortality; for as Isaac
Massey pointed out--
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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