We have then to consider the possibility of a reduction of the quantity
of carbon-dioxide in the atmosphere The inexpert reader probably has a
very exaggerated idea of the fall in temperature that would be required
to give Europe an Ice-Age. If our average temperature fell about 5-8
degrees C. below the average temperature of our time it would suffice;
and it is further calculated that if the quantity of carbon-dioxide in
our atmosphere were reduced by half, we should have this required fall
in temperature. So great a reduction would not be necessary in view
of the other refrigerating agencies. Now it is quite certain that the
proportion of carbon-dioxide was greatly reduced in the Pleistocene. The
forests of the Tertiary Era would steadily reduce it, but the extensive
upheaval of the land at its close would be even more important. The
newly exposed surfaces would absorb great quantities of carbon. The
ocean, also, as it became colder, would absorb larger and larger
quantities of carbon-dioxide. Thus the Pleistocene atmosphere, gradually
relieved of its vapours and carbon-dioxide, would no longer retain
the heat at the surface. We may add that the growth of reflective
surfaces--ice, snow, cloud, etc.--would further lessen the amount of
heat received from the sun.
Here, then, we have a series of closely related causes and effects
which would go far toward explaining, if they do not wholly suffice to
explain, the general fall of the earth's temperature. The basic cause is
the upheaval of the land--a fact which is beyond controversy, the other
agencies are very plain and recognisable consequences of the upheaval.
There are, however, many geologists who do not think this explanation
adequate.
It is pointed out, in the first place, that the glaciation seems to
have come long after the elevation. The difficulty does not seem to
be insurmountable. The reduction of the atmospheric vapour would be
a gradual process, beginning with the later part of the elevation and
culminating long afterwards. The reduction of the carbon-dioxide would
be even more gradual. It is impossible to say how long it would take
these processes to reach a very effective stage, but it is equally
impossible to show that the interval between the upheaval and the
glaciation is greater than the theory demands.
It is also said that we cannot on these principles understand the
repeated advance and retreat of the ice-sheet.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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