The Story of the Bank of England: (A History of English Banking, and a Sketch of the Money Market)Warren, Henry
History
The Story of the Bank of England: (A History of English Banking, and a Sketch of the Money Market)
Warren, Henry
Bank of England -- History; Banks and banking -- England
Here, then, we find two influences at work at the same time, and the
result is distinctly curious. The Bank of England, from the nature of
its business, pays increased dividends when trade is good, therefore
its stock should advance in value during the prosperous portion of
a cycle; but, because of its business relation with the Government,
its stock is looked upon by the public as a kind of Government
security, and, consequently, when any political event causes Consols
to fall, Bank stock recedes in sympathy with them. There is no reason
for this movement, and if it proves anything it proves how little
Finance is understood by the investing public. Here is a stock which
pays fluctuating dividends classed with the so-called "gilt-edged"
variety of securities; therefore its movements often seem erratic,
because at one time it responds to the law that regulates the price of
gilt-edged stocks, and at another to the law which decides the price of
industrials.
It can be seen from our list that for the decade ended 1901 the Bank
of England paid an average dividend of nine-and-a-half per cent. per
annum. Based on the said average, a purchaser, if he require a return
of three per cent. for his money, will have to buy Bank stock at
316⅔; but 319¼ in 1901 is the lowest price it has touched since
1888, and it seems highly probable that our would-be purchaser at
316⅔ would wait in vain for his stock at those figures. Indeed, the
present price, 326, looks cheap for Bank stock. Bought at 325, and
based on an average dividend of nine-and-a-half per cent., the stock
would return about £2 18s. 6d. per cent. So small a return upon one's
money is not calculated to make one anxious to buy, and Consols at 93
are perhaps a greater temptation, though neither investment appeals
very strongly, so far as interest is concerned, to the imagination.
If purchased during the depressed portion of a cycle, the shares of the
large banking companies can be bought at a price which will yield an
average dividend of over four-and-a-half per cent. to the investor; but
it must be borne in mind that, as a rule, he incurs a certain liability
on such shares, whereas Bank stock is free from possible calls, and,
consequently, not exposed to the objection which is constantly urged
against the majority of bank shares as an investment.
Some of my readers, I dare say, will not agree with all my conclusions;
and, perhaps, it may be urged that the information herein contained
were better withheld from the general public. But the truth is
always worth the telling, and if our banking system will not bear
investigation then it must be a bad one. Despite obvious defects in
construction, it is apparent, however, that our great credit machine,
when skilfully managed, can successfully endure considerable strain;
and, if gold be dangerously economised, our present system at least
gives us that inestimable blessing--Cheap Money.
[Illustration]
_Sixth Edition._ _Price 1s. net._
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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