The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
get to see the books only of the larger jobbers. We will suppose, for
instance, the public can be induced to buy a certain stock largely on
some fictitious information. If, at the close of each of three or four
days buying for the rise, it was ascertained by an examination of the
jobbers’ books that accounts were open in a stock to the extent of half
a-million of money by over a hundred different purchasers, it becomes
evident that there is a tree of ripe fruit grown as it were by magic, and
the syndicate has nothing to do but to pluck it. Out of a hundred buyers
at least a third would probably rush out and take their loss at the first
indication of their being on the wrong scent. One of the great faults
which characterises all speculators, with very few exceptions, is that
they cannot summon courage to “cut a loss” at once. The object of buying
was to gain, and the mind is associated with a profit in connection with
a rise on the transaction, and it is very difficult to change about, and
gain, in a negative sense, by not losing more. It is upon this weakness
of speculators individually, in not being able to “cut a loss,” that
bands of marble-hearted riggers lure the public into holes, and squeeze
their purses before they let them out. With such tenacity do speculators
hold on to a stock, hoping for a recovery when they have made a loss,
that they will leave it as a man drops into the sea from a burning ship,
only when he is singed by the flames. Many speculators on discovering
they are on the wrong tack gather themselves up _pour mieux sauter_, and
turn round and sell for the fall, believing they shall be quick enough
to catch it and swim with the downward stream before it is spent. In the
greater number of cases, such speculators watch the fall far enough to
be sure they are right in their view of the way the price is going, and
then they “get in.” What is the usual result? Hesitation in the second
operation has caused them to miss the mark, and the account is closed
with a loss on both transactions; the speculator having bought at or near
the top, and sold at or near the bottom.
CHAPTER VI.
CACOETHES OPERANDI.
[Sidenote: WAITING FOR EXTREMES.]
[Sidenote: REACTION GENERALLY MORE RAPID AFTER A SHARP RISE.]
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