Without laying too much stress on these visionary concepts of life
a million million years hence, we may nevertheless think of this as
the period in round numbers after which the inevitable wastage of the
sun’s weight is likely to drive life off the earth. Venus, with a mean
temperature some 60 degrees higher than the earth, is probably rather
too hot for life at present. But after a million million years, the
temperature of Venus will have fallen by 40 degrees, and what the earth
is now, Venus may perhaps be somewhere between one and two million
million years hence. Whether life will then inhabit Venus we cannot
know, and it would be futile to guess, but there is at least a chance
that as the earth fails, Venus may step into its place. Possibly Venus
may be followed by Mercury in due course, but the present evidence
is that Mercury is devoid of atmosphere, in which case it is hard to
imagine it as a home for life at all resembling that which now inhabits
the earth.
So far we have considered only the normal course of events; a variety
of accidents may bring the human race to an end long before a million
million years have elapsed. To mention only possible astronomical
occurrences, the sun may run into another star, any asteroid may hit
any other asteroid and, as a result, be so deflected from its path as
to strike the earth, any of the stars in space may wander into the
solar system and, in so doing, upset all the planetary orbits to such
an extent that the earth becomes impossible as an abode of life. It is
difficult to estimate the likelihood of any of these events happening
but they all seem very improbable, and the first and last highly so.
Let us disregard them all.
A danger remains which cannot be so lightly dismissed. Let us first
state it in technical language. The sun is a main-sequence star, and
is moreover very near to the left-hand edge of the main-sequence in
the Russell diagram (p. 278). Beyond this edge is a region of the
diagram which is completely untenanted by stars. We have supposed this
region to be untenanted by stars because the stellar configurations
it represents would be unstable. Stars pass through it rapidly until
they find a stable configuration, and so end up in a region which can
be permanently tenanted by stars. Now the next stable configurations
beyond this region are those of the white dwarfs, and as these are less
massive as a class than the main-sequence stars, the general trend of
stellar evolution appears to be from main-sequence star to white dwarf.
On this view the white dwarfs must have previously been main-sequence
stars which wandered across the left-hand edge of the band of stable
configurations and then fell through the unstable region until they
resumed stability as white dwarfs.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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