This is some five hundred times the past age of the earth, and
over three million times the period through which humanity has
so far existed on earth. Let us try to see these times in their
proper proportion by the help of yet another simple model. Take a
postage-stamp, and stick it on to a penny. Now climb Cleopatra’s
needle and lay the penny flat, postage-stamp upper-most, on top of the
obelisk. The height of the whole structure may be taken to represent
the time that has elapsed since the earth was born. On this scale,
the thickness of the penny and postage-stamp together represents the
time that man has lived on earth. The thickness of the postage-stamp
represents the time he has been civilised, the thickness of the penny
representing the time he lived in an uncivilised state. Now stick
another postage-stamp on top of the first to represent the next 5000
years of civilisation, and keep sticking on postage-stamps until
you have a pile as high as Mont Blanc. Even now the pile forms an
inadequate representation of the length of the future which, so far as
astronomy can see, probably stretches before civilised humanity, unless
an accident cuts it short. The first postage-stamp was the past of
civilisation; the column higher than Mont Blanc is its future. Or, to
look at it in another way, the first postage-stamp represents what man
has already achieved; the pile which outtops Mont Blanc represents what
he may achieve, if his future achievement is proportional to his time
on earth.
Yet we have seen that we cannot count on such a length of future with
any certainty. Accidents may happen to the race as to the individual.
Celestial collisions may occur; shrinking into a white dwarf, the sun
may freeze terrestrial life out of existence; bursting out as a nova it
may scorch our race to death. Accident may replace our Mont Blanc of
postage-stamps by a truncated column of only a fraction of the height
of Mont Blanc. Even so, there is a prospect of tens of thousands of
millions of years before our race. And the human mind, as apart from
the mind of the mathematician, can hardly distinguish clearly between
such a period as this and the million million years to which we may
look forward if accidents do not overtake us. For all practical purpose
the only statement that conveys any real meaning is that our race may
look forward to occupying the earth for a time incomparably longer than
any we can imagine.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account