The Valuation of Public Service Corporation Property: Transactions of the American Society of Civil Engineers,; vol. LXXII, June, 1911, ASCE 1190Riggs, Henry Earle
General
The Valuation of Public Service Corporation Property: Transactions of the American Society of Civil Engineers,; vol. LXXII, June, 1911, ASCE 1190
Taking into consideration the fact that rates must be reasonable, either
by virtue of present laws or laws which may become effective at any
time, perhaps in the immediate future, going value may well be defined
as the present worth of the amount by which the anticipated profits of a
going plant, operating at reasonable rates, exceed the present worth of
the anticipated profits of a similar hypothetical starting plant,
operating at those same rates. With this conception of going value, it
is impossible for a non-competitive property to have a negative going
value, and every operating plant has a positive going value, even though
operating at a loss.
The whole problem hinges on the question of "what is the reasonable rate
or proper return," and this should be determined in the aggregate as the
starting point. The Courts have persistently dodged the issue, and
properly so, whenever that question has arisen, leaving it for
consideration in each particular case, depending on the stability of the
business, the hazard involved, and various other local factors.
It may safely be conceded that this fair profit is something in excess
of the return from Government bonds, and for the purpose of this
discussion it matters not what figure is assumed as the fair
profit—whether 5, 6, or 10%, or what-not—the theory is the same in any
case. This is perhaps best explained by a practical illustration:
Take, for example, a water-works system, the physical present value of
which has been determined by the method of reproduction to be
$1,000,000, and denote the going value by the unknown quantity, _x_;
suppose, further, that 6% is considered a reasonable return on the "fair
value"—not yet determined, the "fair value" being $1,000,000 plus the
going value, _x_. Therefore, the rates must be such as to produce in the
aggregate an amount equal to the operating expenses, maintenance, taxes,
sinking fund, and depreciation, and still have a profit of 6% on the
fair value of the property. The anticipated profits of the going plant,
therefore, are exactly 6% of ($1,000,000 + _x_) = $60,000 + 6_x_/100 per
annum. The anticipated profits of the hypothetical starting plant will
be negative at the start, and gradually increase, finally reaching a
maximum of $60,000 + 6_x_/100 per annum.
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