The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
Be it noted further, however, that even if we grant a fixed ratio, on
the basis of Fisher's argument, between M and M', Fisher has offered no
jot of proof that the causation runs from M to M'. He simply assumes
that point outright. "Any change in M, the quantity of money in
circulation, _requiring as it normally does a proportional change in
M'_, the volume of deposits subject to check." (_Ibid._, p. 52, Italics
mine.) For this, no argument at all is offered. A fixed ratio, so far as
causation is concerned, might mean any one of three things: (a) that M
controls M'; (b) that M' controls M; (c) that a common cause controls
both. Fisher does not at all consider these alternative possibilities. I
shall myself avoid a sweeping statement as to the causal relations among
the factors in the equation, because I do not think that any of the
factors is homogenous enough, as an aggregate, to be either cause or
effect of anything. But if a generalization concerning these magnitudes
were required, I should be disposed to assert that the third alternative
is the most defensible, and that to the extent that M and M' vary
together it is under the influence of a common cause, namely, PT! That
is to say, that the volume of bank-deposits and the volume of money tend
to increase or decrease in a given market--and Fisher's theory is a
theory of the market even of a single city[165]--_because of_ increases
or decreases in PT (considered as a unitary cause rather than as two
separate factors) in that market. But I shall not put my proposition in
quite that form, as I find the factors in the equation of exchange too
indefinite for satisfactory causal theory.
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