The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
For European banks, the case is equally clear. European bankers deny
any intention of keeping any definite reserve ratio. This appeared very
clearly in the "Interviews" obtained for the Monetary Commission with
leading European bankers.[174] The Banque de France increased its gold
reserves, between 1899 and 1910, by 75%, but increased its discounts and
advances during the same period by only 5%.[175] J. M. Keynes[176]
points out that the reserves of the great banks of the world, and of
Treasuries which act as central banks, have absorbed an enormous part of
the gold produced in the fifteen years before the War, increasing their
holdings from about five hundred million pounds sterling in 1900 to one
billion pounds sterling at the outbreak of the War. "The object of these
accumulations has been only dimly conceived by the owners of them. They
have been piled up partly as the result of blind fashion, partly as the
almost _automatic consequence_, in an era of abundant gold supply, of
the particular currency arrangements which it has been orthodox to
introduce.... The ratios of gold to liabilities vary very extremely from
one country to another, without always being explicable by reference to
the varying circumstances of those countries.... The contingencies,
against which a gold reserve is held, are necessarily so vague that the
problem of assessing the proper ratio must be, within wide limits,
indeterminate. It is natural, therefore, that bankers, who must act one
way or the other, should often fall back on mere usage or accept _that
amount of gold as sufficient_ which, _if they are chiefly passive, the
tides of gold bring them_. [Italics mine.] At any rate, the management
of gold reserves is not yet a science in most countries. There is no
ideal virtue in the present level of these reserves. Countries have got
on in the past with much less, and under force of circumstances could do
so again."
It will be noticed that Keynes, in the passage cited, is speaking of
_gold_ reserves, while Fisher's contention relates to all kinds of money
available for reserves, which in this country would include gold, silver
dollars, greenbacks, and, for many State banks, the notes of national
banks. He is also talking of the relation of reserves to demand
_liabilities_, which for most great European banks are primarily notes,
rather than of reserves to deposits. But as an exposition of the theory
of the ratio of reserves to deposits (the chief liability of American
banks), it is applicable to American conditions, and as a statement of
the facts, it of course gives a basis for testing Fisher's doctrine
generally. I do not think that Fisher's fixed ratio, as between reserves
and deposits, or even the ratio which more moderate quantity theorists
might seek to find between gold and demand liabilities, will find any
justification in the facts of banking history.[177]
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