The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
As the point immediately at issue is that V's will be _unchanged_ by the
increase in M (otherwise P would not increase _proportionately_--let us
see if considerations can be adduced which will make this a little less
"obvious." First, it will be noticed that Fisher, in the foregoing, in
one sentence speaks of the matter as resting on _habit_, and in the next
sentence, on _convenience_. He speaks, also, of business _custom_. Now
it is important to note that habit and custom, on the one hand, and
considerations of convenience on the other, do not necessarily coincide.
Many habits and customs are highly inconvenient. And it is not at all
likely that habit and custom should govern so highly complex a thing as
the ratio between cash on hand and the price-level. Rather, in so far as
custom and habit rule, one would expect them to relate to a simpler
matter, namely, the _amount of cash on hand_. If the amount of cash kept
on hand should remain controlled by habit, while the amount of money is
increased, then V, instead of remaining unchanged, would actually be
increased, unless the habits should be broken in on. I shall show in a
moment that considerations of convenience would probably lead to a
reduced V, in so far as individual turnover is concerned. But which
tendency will prevail? Well, that will depend on the degree to which
custom and habit rule as compared with considerations of
convenience--_i. e_., there would be no rule valid for all communities.
That convenience would lead to a larger amount of money on hand--and I
am following Fisher's temporary hypothesis that there has been no rise
in prices prior to the movement to restore the V's to their old
magnitudes--will appear from considerations like these. Few men have as
much on hand as they would like to have, including both their cash in
hand and their deposit balances. Most people have the tendency to hoard,
though it is usually held in check by necessity. If money on hand be
increased suddenly, without prices being increased, and without any
prospect of increased incomes in the future--and there is nothing in
Fisher's provisional hypothesis to call for increased incomes, as they
could, in fact, come only from an increase in prices--why might not
there be a considerable saving of money, with a corresponding reduction
in V? If it be objected that people, in saving their money, will in
considerable degree put it into the banks, and that the banks, with
larger reserves, will increase loans and deposits, I would urge, that it
is on the part of banks that this tendency to increase hoards in times
of abundant money is particularly marked, and for proof would point to
the figures quoted from Keynes[210] for the great banks and treasuries
of Europe in the last fifteen years. It is not necessary for my purpose
at this point to do more than show that there is reason to expect an
increase in money to _change_ the V's. Fisher's argument rests on the
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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