The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
For years other than 1910, indirect calculations must be resorted to for
domestic trade. I have substantial confidence in the rough accuracy of
the figure chosen for 1910 in view of the convergence of two widely
different sets of data. My figure for retail deposits in 1909 is
$32,000,000,000. King's figure for total income is $30,500,000,000 for
1910. King's figure seems to me a better figure to use for the purpose
in hand. I use my own merely as a rough check on his. For years other
than 1910, the figure for net income is calculated as a percentage of
King's figure for 1910, by means of an "index of variation." It is
assumed that the net income of 1905, for example, bears the same
relation to the index for 1905 that the absolute figure for net income
of 1910 bears to the index for 1910, and net income for 1905 is then
computed by "the rule of three." The index of variation chosen is
_railway gross receipts_ weighted by _wholesale prices_. I think that
railway gross receipts are, on the whole, the most dependable and easily
manageable index of physical volume of production that we have, though
recognizing difficulties, later to be discussed, in using them for the
purpose in hand. Railroads touch virtually every kind of business in the
country. Variations in the _pecuniary_ volume of production and
consumption, however, if due to rising or falling _prices_, rather than
to changing physical volume, would not be indicated by changes in
railway gross receipts. The same volume of transportation might
represent widely varying pecuniary values of goods transported. Railway
rates do not vary from year to year with prices of goods, even though
high-priced goods are normally charged higher rates than low-priced
goods. The index, therefore, must include _prices_ as well as physical
volume of transportation. For 1910, therefore, railway gross receipts
and an index of prices are multiplied together, and counted as 100%. The
same thing is done for railway gross receipts and prices for other
years, and the results reduced to percentages of the result for 1910.
The figure for net income in any other year is then readily computed as
a percentage of the figure for 1910. The results, for the years
1890-1916, appear in the tables below.[305]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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