The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
within the confines of the quantity theory. Fisher's recognition of this
seems full and complete. He relegates all mention of elastic bank-credit
to "transitions." The footnote quoted above, in which Laughlin's
(somewhat extreme) doctrine based on the theory of elasticity is stated,
denies categorically that there is any validity in it, except for
transition periods. There is nowhere in the book any explanation of the
theory of elasticity.[322] The references to it are few and grudging,
and _always_ in connection with the notion of transitions. The most
important statement regarding elasticity (less than a page long) is on
page 161, where again transitional influences are under discussion. What
is a theory of money worth which can offer no explanation of so
fundamental, important, and notorious a feature of modern money and
banking?
There is a further, related, feature of banking for which the quantity
theory can find no explanation. Among the items in a bank's balance
sheet, the quantity theorist seizes upon reserves on the assets side,
and deposits on the liability side, and builds his theory on the
supposed close relation between them. We have seen that this close
relation does not, in fact, exist. The range of variation is
enormous.[323] But there is one close relation in the balance sheet of
the bank concerning which the quantity theory is silent, and that is the
relation between deposits and _loans_. For individual banks and for
banks in the aggregate, for long run periods and for short run periods,
for reasons that are clear and inevitable, these two magnitudes (or for
banks of issue on the Continent of Europe, _notes_ and loans), vary
closely together. The relationship between them is the only relationship
which does stand out as clearly beyond dispute, among all the items in
the banking balance sheet. No assumptions of a "static state" are needed
for its demonstration! The relation varies, of course. As banks increase
or reduce their capital, as their reserve-percentages rise or fall, as
they increase or decrease their holdings of bonds, we find reasons which
alter the proportion between deposits and loans. But, despite this, the
variation, as shown by figures for the United States, is slight. Assume,
for example, a statement showing "loans and discounts" of $1,000,000,
deposits, $1,000,000, cash reserve, $200,000. Reserves are then 20% of
deposits, and loans are 100% of deposits. If reserves be increased by
$100,000 and loans and discounts reduced, to compensate, by $100,000, we
have a 50% variation in the ratio of reserves to deposits, with only a
10% variation in the ratio of loans and discounts to deposits. Since
cash reserve is much the smaller item, almost always, the same absolute
variation in it will affect it, in percentage, vastly more than it will
affect loans and discounts. It is strange that a theory should seize on
this highly variable ratio of reserves to deposits, and ignore the much
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