The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
The general form of the conflict may be stated for all these theories.
They are theories of the _relations_ of particular prices, concerned
with showing that individual prices are so related that they tend to
_vary together_. A rise in one price, according to these theories, tends
to bring about _rises_ in others, and _vice versa_. The quantity theory,
on the other hand, asserts a relation among individual prices such that
a rise in one tends to bring about a _fall_ in others--it requires a
_compensatory_ fall at one point, if there has been a rise somewhere
else.
Let us take some cases. I shall take, first, the conflict between the
quantity theory and the capitalization theory, as I can use the
illustration just given in connection with it. I have, in a preceding
chapter, given a statement of the capitalization theory. It is a theory
concerned with the prices of long-time goods and income-bearers, as
lands, houses, capital goods of various sorts that give forth their
services through a series of years, stocks, bonds, etc. The prices of
things of this sort, according to the capitalization[340] theory, depend
on two factors: one, the money income expected from the income-bearer,
the other, the prevailing rate of interest. This money income, except in
the case of bonds, commonly depends on the prices of the products of the
income-bearer, or (in the case of stocks) of the products of the
concrete capital-goods to which the income-bearer gives title. If we may
follow the Austrian division of goods into higher and lower "orders," or
"ranks," we may say that the prices of the goods of higher ranks are the
capitalizations of the prices of the goods of lower ranks specifically
produced by them. Thus, concretely, if the price of wheat rises, we may
expect the prices of land to rise, if the rate of interest remains the
same. If the price of steel rises, we may expect the stocks of the U. S.
Steel corporation to rise, also. If the prices of smokeless powder, and
other war munitions soar, we may expect the prices of the stocks of the
corporations involved to do precisely what they have done in the recent
course of the stock market. All this, on the assumption that the rate of
interest does not change, and that the risk factor remains constant. If
these factors vary, the results will not present the mathematical
exactitude that the formula calls for, but the general tendency will
remain the same. On the other hand, if the incomes remain unchanged,
but the rate of interest rises, then we may expect the capitalized
prices to fall, and if the rate of interest falls, we may expect the
capitalized prices to rise. From the standpoint of the present
discussion, I suppose it might be fairest and best to state the
capitalization theory on this point as Fisher himself states it. In his
_Elementary Principles of Economics_ (ed. 1912) after giving a table
showing in figures the difference made in different capital prices by
different rates of interest (p.
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