The Value of MoneyAnderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
General
The Value of Money
Anderson, Benjamin M. (Benjamin McAlester)
Money
It is perfectly true, however, that studies running through long
periods, which give simply figures for general prices and figures for
quantity of money, omitting volume of trade, are not very relevant
either for proof or disproof.[377] And the conception underlying the
studies of Kemmerer and Fisher, that not merely money and prices, but
also volume of bank-credit, volume of trade, velocity of monetary
circulation, and velocity of bank-credit, must be measured, undoubtedly
represents a big advance in the conception of the statistical problem
involved. The mere stating of the problem is an intellectual achievement
of no mean order, and the ingenuity and scholarship involved in seeking
data for concrete measurement of these highly elusive elements must
command the admiration of every student of monetary problems. Volume of
trade, velocity of money and velocity of bank-credit had been generally
supposed, until these studies were undertaken, to be beyond the reach of
the statistician. There can be no doubt at all that the efforts to
measure them, or to measure variations in them, by Kemmerer and Fisher,
have greatly advanced our general knowledge of the phenomena of money
and credit.
With great admiration for the magnificence of the problem undertaken,
and for the industry, ingenuity and scholarship which have been devoted
to its solution, I have nevertheless reached the conclusion that the
figures assigned by these writers to the magnitudes of their "equations
of exchange" are, with the exceptions of the figures for money and
deposits, widely at variance from the real facts in the case, and
second, that if they were correct, they could in no sense be said to
constitute proof of the quantity theory.
In the critical analysis which follows, chief attention will be devoted
to Fisher's statistics. His is the later study, and it follows, in main
outlines, the methods laid down by Kemmerer. He has employed Kemmerer's
statistics in considerable part, amplifying them for later years, using
some data not available when Kemmerer wrote, and undertaking a fuller
solution of certain problems than Kemmerer did. I shall, however, from
time to time make reference to Kemmerer's figures, and show points of
difference between the two studies.
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