The war and our financial fabricWall, Walter William
History
The war and our financial fabric
Wall, Walter William
Banks and banking -- Great Britain; Currency question -- Great Britain; World War, 1914-1918 -- Economic aspects -- Great Britain
Experience shows us clearly that as demand grows the potential supply
diminishes; therefore it cannot be a perennial, inexhaustible fund. If
bankers find that the demand is growing, they advance their rates of
interest. In other words, they demand a larger share of the profits
of the community. They have two objects to serve in this. They desire
to increase their own profits and they desire to check the demands
upon them. From their point of view, it is better to lend a little at
a high rate of interest than much at a low rate. In their annual or
semi-annual speeches bank chairmen are pleased if they can show their
shareholders that during a certain period the rate of interest has
been high; for it is evidence to them that circumstances have been
in their favour; that they have done good, profitable business. They
lament times when interest has ruled low. And interest rules low when
the fund is said to be overflowing, when the banks cannot lend as much
as they would like. There are, however, as I have already pointed out,
exceptions to this. It is no invariable rule, or law, or sequence,
whatever we may please to call it, that interest is low when the fund
is overflowing and high when the fund has fallen. Interest is governed
by many causes extraneous to the power of banks to lend, and these
causes often arise in an unforeseen, capricious way.
We may say, however, while recognizing the effects of irregular,
uncertain causes, that the value of what is called bank money is
affected by the well-known law of supply and demand, the law that
affects the prices of commodities and of labour. In a general sense,
when the supply of money is greater than the demand the rate of
interest falls; when the demand is in excess of the supply the rate of
interest rises.
Demand increases when borrowers multiply. Borrowers go in growing
numbers to the banks. As the loans thereby increase, so the deposits
increase. If, therefore, the deposits compose the loanable fund, the
loanable fund increases. At last, however, the loanable grows so large
that the banks say they can lend no more. Lend no more, when the
loanable fund is greater than ever? But the banker shakes his head. He
knows that though the loanable fund is greater than ever in appearance,
it is smaller than ever in fact. He knows that the greater the demands
made upon him the more his power of lending decreases, until the moment
arrives when he has to say “Stop!” He sees that as the fund rises the
proportion of the gold reserve falls. So he stops lending, lets his
loans run off, whether secured on bills of discount or securities, and
waits until that so-called loan-fund falls. And when it has fallen,
when the loan-fund is less, then he can lend again, although to the
uninitiated he has apparently less to lend.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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