The war and our financial fabricWall, Walter William
History
The war and our financial fabric
Wall, Walter William
Banks and banking -- Great Britain; Currency question -- Great Britain; World War, 1914-1918 -- Economic aspects -- Great Britain
It does not follow, then, that because at given moments capital may
be dearer than at other moments, a general rise or a general fall
in prices will immediately follow. Neither can we lay it down as an
indisputable axiom that a 5 per cent. interest, say, is detrimental to
trade, and a 2 per cent. interest is beneficial to trade. But we can
say, I think, that a very high rate of interest is harmful to trade,
particularly if it be prolonged, and that a constantly fluctuating rate
of interest is more unfavourable for trade than a uniform rate, or a
rate that varies but slightly.
A high rate of interest means dearth of capital, and dearth of capital
must affect production and consumption and the output of wealth, just
as a dearth of seed must affect the coming harvest. The community,
therefore, must necessarily suffer from a dearth of capital, and as
the community is largely dependent upon the banks for the supply of
capital, then it follows that it is best for the community that the
supply should be constant, that it should adjust itself to the demands
upon it. If it could do this, then the rate of interest would tend
to greater uniformity. At any rate, it would not rise and fall so
capriciously as it does do. If it varied it would vary within narrower
compass.
If this could be accomplished, if the supply of capital were less
dependent than it has been and still is, upon extraneous circumstances,
we may see steadier prices, and perhaps one happy effect would be less
labour difficulties and less strikes. Strikes are, in many instances,
the effect of constantly fluctuating prices. But the supply and
price of capital would not alone put an end to fluctuating prices. I
merely hint that it might help to correct those frequent and extreme
fluctuations that cause so much discontentment, and so much envy, and
so much misery.
It would be interesting to speculate what would happen if the Germans
conquered us and took away our colonies and our goldfields. If Germany
restricted or cut off the supply of gold to this country, what would
happen to our loanable fund? How would it affect what we call the
creation of credit? How would it affect the supply of capital? If the
law remained as it is, and the banks could get no more gold reserves,
then there would be no loanable fund and no supply of capital. But the
law being what it is, the supply of capital is dependent upon the
supply of gold.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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