The World Crisis, Volume 1 (of 6)Churchill, Winston
History
The World Crisis, Volume 1 (of 6)
Churchill, Winston
World War, 1914-1918; World War, 1914-1918 -- Great Britain
Prudence and audacity may be alternated but not mixed. Having gone to
war it is vain to shrink from facing the hazards inseparable from it. At
the outset of the war Germany had a choice between a prudent and an
audacious strategy. She could either have fallen, as she did, upon
France with her main strength and held off Russia meanwhile, or have
fallen upon Russia with ample forces and stood on the defensive against
France. If she had taken the second course she would have said to France
and to Europe: “This is an Eastern quarrel. Let us endeavour to limit
the area of the conflict. We are going to rescue our ally Austria from
Russia. We have no dispute with France. We have no intention of invading
French territory. Unless you attack us, we shall not touch you: if you
attack us, we shall have to defend ourselves. As for Belgium, it is
sacred to us.” The German Government would then have appealed to England
to help to localise the struggle, and a well-meaning effort would most
probably have been made with that object. France would therefore have
had to choose between deserting her ally and invading Germany in cold
blood, alone. Neither Belgium nor England would have entered the war. By
the winter the Russian armies would have been torn to pieces in the
East, and France brought to a standstill before barbed wire and
entrenchments on German soil in the West. France would therefore have
appeared the aggressor, who had made a treaty with Russia in order to
get back her lost provinces, and then in pursuance of this treaty had
flagrantly invaded Germany and had been arrested by the defenders of the
Fatherland. On the other hand, the moment Russia was beaten,
overwhelming German forces could be brought to bear on France. And if in
this second stage the Germans had chosen to violate the neutrality of
Belgium, Britain, if she had intervened at all, would have intervened
divided and too late. All these tremendous political-strategic
considerations were present in the minds of British Ministers, and Mr.
Lloyd George in particular would never believe, until the mass invasion
of Belgium was an actual fact, that the Germans would be so unwise as to
ignore them. Ludendorff, however, tells us that the German General Staff
rejected such a plan for one decisive reason, namely, that it involved a
long war. This answer seems insufficient.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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