Not all Germans were dazzled by the Oriental glamor of the Bagdad
Railway plan. Herr Scheidemann, leader of the Social Democrats in
the Reichstag, time and time again sounded warnings against the
complications almost certain to result from the construction of the
railway. Speaking before the Reichstag in March, 1911, for example,
he said: “We are the last to misjudge the great value of this road
to civilization. We know its economic significance: we know that it
traverses a region which in antiquity was a fabulously fertile country,
and we welcome it as a great achievement if the Bagdad Railway opens
up that territory. And if, by gigantic irrigation projects, the land
can be made into a granary for Europe, as well as a land to which we
could look for an abundant supply of raw materials, such as cotton,
that would be doubly welcome.” But that is not all, continued Herr
Scheidemann. German capitalists would not be able to overlook the
military-strategic interests of the line, for only the establishment
of a strong centralized government in Turkey “can offer European
capitalism the necessary security for the realization of its great
capitalistic plans.” This military strengthening of Turkey would be
almost certain, he pointed out, to arouse the opposition of Great
Britain, Russia, and France. Particularly was he desirous of avoiding
any additionally irritating relations with Great Britain, for the
traditional friendship with that nation had already been seriously
compromised by colonial and naval rivalries.[34] Similar warnings were
uttered by other Socialists and anti-imperialists.
Quite different in character was the objection raised to the Bagdad
Railway by a certain type of more conservative German. An aggressive
policy in the Near East naturally would have been distasteful to
the diplomatists of the old school, who were disposed to adhere to
the Bismarckian principles of isolating France on the Continent
and avoiding commercial and colonial conflicts overseas. According
to their point of view, German ventures in the Ottoman Empire were
certain to lead to two complications: first, the support of Austrian
imperial ambitions in the Balkans; second, a German attempt to
maintain a dominant political position at Constantinople. Under such
circumstances, of course, it would not be possible to bring about a
divorce of the newly married France and Russia, for Russian interests
in the Near East would brook no compromise on the part of the Tsar’s
Government. In addition, it was feared, the establishment of German
ports on the Mediterranean and on the Persian Gulf would strengthen
British antipathy to Germany, already augmented by naval and commercial
rivalry. The final outcome of such a situation undoubtedly would be the
formation of a Franco-British-Russian coalition against the Central
Powers.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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