It is questionable, however, if the Bagdad Railway really threatened
any important Russian economic interests. The railways of southern
Russia, so far from being injured by competition with the proposed
new railways of Turkey, would be almost certain to profit from any
increase of trade in the region of the Black Sea. The Russian dream of
a railway to Alexandretta was still very much of a dream; but even if
the contrary had been the case, its construction for peaceful purposes
would not have been hindered by the Bagdad plan. The claim that a
trans-Mesopotamian railway would compete with the Far Eastern traffic
of the Siberian Railways was purely fantastic; it overlooked the
obvious fact that an ideal shipping route, like a straight line, is the
shortest distance between two points. It would be at least a generation
before Mesopotamian grain and oil could play a prominent part in the
Russian market.[7]
But with Russian political interests the case was different. Ever
since the days of Peter the Great, the Russian Tsars had persistently
and relentlessly continued their efforts to obtain a “window” on the
Mediterranean. This historical trend toward the open sea led to a
well-defined intention on the part of Russia, in one way or another,
to take Constantinople from the Turks. The dynastic interests of
Russia were reënforced by commercial considerations. “Most of Russia’s
southern trade is bound to pass through the Bosporus. Her wheat and
hides, her coal and oil cannot reach the European markets any other
way; her manganese and petroleum are inaccessible to other nations
if they cannot find an outlet from the Caucasus to the Dardanelles.”
During the Turco-Italian War the closing of the Straits for a few days
was said to have cost Russian shipping about eight million francs.[8]
Bonds of religion and race enlisted Russian sympathy in the struggle
of the Balkan states to win independence from Turkey—a cause which
harmonized with the Russian ambition to bring about the disintegration
of Turkey-in-Europe. The rise of German influence at Constantinople—of
which the Anatolian and Bagdad Railway concessions were a tangible
manifestation—had been a source of annoyance to Russia, not only
because it prevented Russian domination of Turkish affairs and because
it strengthened the position of Austria-Hungary in the Balkans, but
also because it tended to strengthen Turkish military power. It was
annoying enough to witness the rising political and economic power of
Germany in the Near East; it was more annoying to realize that, under
German guidance, the Turks might experience an economic and military
renaissance which would end once and for all the Russian hope of
possessing ancient Byzantium.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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