A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United StatesJuglar, Clément
History
A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United States
Juglar, Clément
Depressions
These conclusions are also reached by our author through analyses of the
Financial History of England, France, Prussia, Austria, etc. These I
omit as unnecessarily wearisome to the reader since I give that of our
own country. However, I will here quote the following: "What must be
noted is the reiteration and sequence of the same points _(faits)_
under varying circumstances, at all times, in all countries and under
all governments," and also this table showing all the panics and their
practical coincidence in the past eighty-five years, in France, England,
and the United States.
France England United States
1804 1803
1810 1810
1813-14 1815 1814
1818 1818 1818
1825 1825 1826
1830 1830 1829-31
1836-39 1836-39 1837-39
1847 1847 1848
1857 1857 1857
1864 1864-66 1864
1873 1873
1882 1882 1884
(a 1889-90 (a 1890-91 1890-91
p 1894 p 1894 1893-94
p 1897 p 1897 1897
r 1903 r 19O3 1903
o 1907 o 1907 1907
x 1913 x 1913 1913
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Truly these thirteen panics in the three countries have been practically
simultaneous and one common cause must have originated them. The only
cause common to all was overtrading to such an extent that neither
credit nor money were to be had, so that a forced liquidation or panic
inevitably ensued.
The above table effectually does away with the theory that new tariffs
are directly productive of panics. For most certainly new tariffs did
not occur in England, France, and the United States just before or
during all the panic years enumerated, and yet, practically
simultaneously in free-trade England, high-protection France, and
sometimes low-tariff, sometimes high-protection United States have
panics occurred for eighty years.
But, as I have shown in a note attached to this Introduction, a new
tariff or a general change of duties is apt to precipitate a panic, on
account of the unsettling of business, and that the consequent shaking
of credit adds its quota to the forces finally culminating in a panic
cannot be doubted. As a matter of history with us, substantially new
tariffs have always happened to be the immediate forerunners of a panic,
and this I believe to be true in the case of other countries.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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