A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United StatesJuglar, Clément
History
A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United States
Juglar, Clément
Depressions
The Bill of May 9th of the House of Representatives, giving the
Interstate Commerce Commission power to fix railroad rates, was ominous,
and little noticed by the general business world; but some noticed and
acted. The Senate had not voted; nor did they realize what
rate-regulation implied to railroad balance sheets and so to the Stock
Exchange. Some interest was selling securities. The business public was
awakening to the fact that legislators, legislation, the people, and the
law were hot after the business methods of many organizers. Fear,
founded on a tardy awakening to facts, declared itself, but
spasmodically, for now and again the great captains of finance and
industry were trying to save the situation. They successfully aided
whatever of momentum there was in general business. But Congressional
activity as to any combinations in restraint of trade was unabated. It
called upon the President for such information as the Interstate
Commerce Commission might have as to a combination in restraint of trade
between the Pennsylvania Railroad and certain lines allied with it.
The battle between the old style and the new style of managing great
corporations was fairly on. Labor troubles added to the existing
disarrangement of business. San Francisco's vast earthquake and
consuming fire sucked much capital away from financial centres in order
to replace the $350,000,000 of capital destroyed. The money market was
greatly restricted. The stock market showed signs of panic. The
Secretary of the Treasury continued to help the situation as best he
knew how. Notably, he offered $30,000,000 Panama Canal Bonds, and very
successfully sold them. That afforded an additional basis for bank-note
issuing. The stock market responded with a fine upward swing. Heavy
dividends were declared by certain leading railroad and other
corporations. Indeed many high records were made by securities and so
distracted attention from that steady tide of keener inspection and
stricter regulation by the agents of the people which was destined to
unmoor and toss and injure many a financial craft. Railroads asserted
that the country needed a great increase in railroad trackage, but that
the actual treatment of the roads deterred extensions through
frightening capital. So the year 1906 wore away after having sorely
tried the nerves of the whole business world which it left in a most
justly apprehensive state.
THE PANIC OF 1907.--The panic of 1907 opened with great but feverish
activity in business. Driven by necessity the railroads adopted the
issuance of short-time notes for new capital, as the market would absorb
no long-time obligations except at forbidding interest rates. Any
signally untoward happening could promptly precipitate a panic. The
United States Treasury withdrawal of Government deposits from the banks,
and the collapse of the Knickerbocker Trust Company in New York were
such happenings.
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