=402. Rise in the price level since 1896.=—Toward the close of the
nineteenth century a change became apparent in the very basis of
business, namely in the world’s money in which prices are expressed.
The prices of different commodities never rise or fall exactly in
unison, but it is possible by statistics to show the change in the
average of prices or the price level, as it is called; and a study of
recent statistics shows a rise in prices so extensive and so rapid as
to make it clearly a topic deserving serious attention from the student
of commercial development.
Taking for the basis of comparison the average of prices in the decade
1890-1899, the price of staple raw commodities in the United States
had risen in 1910 by almost 40%; or, comparing 1910 with 1896, when
prices were lowest, by 66.3%, almost two-thirds. The change has been
less marked in manufactured wares, for it has been offset to a certain
extent by improvements in methods of production, but still it is very
great: nearly 30% compared with the decade before 1900, and over 40%
compared with 1896.
=403. Effects of increase in the world’s gold production.=—Countless
factors have contributed to this result, in one way or another, but
economists are generally agreed that the one cause overshadowing all
others is the increase in the world’s output of gold. The metal which
is the basis of the world’s currency system has become so plentiful
that it has cheapened; and the purchaser of wares has now to give more
gold for them, that is, prices have risen.
From the time of the Californian and the Australian gold discoveries,
for almost half a century, the world’s annual gold output was curiously
constant, at a figure somewhat over _one_ hundred million dollars.
The discovery of new gold fields and the perfection of new processes
effected a revolution. The output of 1896 first exceeded the figure of
_two_ hundred million, in 1899 it passed the mark of _three_ hundred,
in 1906 and in succeeding years past 1910 it never fell below _four_
hundred million.
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