=452. Relative decline in value and quality of English exports.=—The
questions agitating the minds of English business men and statesmen at
the opening of the twentieth century rose from a consideration of the
immediate past and of the future of English commerce. While the country
had enjoyed a full measure of prosperity in recent years, and had
witnessed a considerable increase in the quantity of its foreign trade,
the quality of this trade awakened forebodings. The increase had been
almost entirely confined to imports. Since 1872 the exports, though
they had increased in bulk, had remained almost stationary in value;
they had kept pace neither with the growth of population in England,
nor with the growth in value of the exports of other countries. In the
twenty years, 1881-1900, foreign countries enlarged their purchases
(imports) by 11 per cent, while England augmented her sales to them
(exports) by only 4 per cent; the British possessions enlarged their
purchases by 17 per cent, while English sales to these dependencies
showed an actual decrease of 1 per cent. The exports of which England
has been most proud, as indicating her superior industrial strength—the
textiles, and iron and steel—had either increased slowly or shown an
actual decline. On the other hand, the exports which had increased in
value were of a kind which the English viewed with disfavor. Many of
them (apparel and slops, preserves, soap, furniture, etc.) were the
product of cheap and unskilled workers and seemed to show a degradation
of English labor. Others of them, potter’s clay and especially coal,
were raw materials which the English would have preferred to use in
their own industry at home.
=453. Growth in exports but decline in relative share of trade.=—The
table of trade of the United Kingdom in the preceding chapter shows
that the period of stagnation in the English export trade ended about
1900, and that there was a marked recovery between that date and 1914,
even after allowance is made, as it should be, for the rise in the
general level of prices, which magnifies the actual growth. Studying
the course of trade during the generation comprised between the dates
1880-1909, the United Kingdom maintained or increased the value of its
sales in all but two of the more important markets of the world; and
the two countries to which British exports have declined, Russia and
Roumania, would not by themselves form very serious exceptions. If,
however, we select for study not the bare figures of export values, but
the figures showing the percentage which British sales to any country
form of that country’s total imports, the result is very different; for
we are then measuring British progress not by the home standard but by
the standard set by commercial competitors.
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