A Hundred Years Hence: The Expectations of an OptimistRussell, T. Baron
Philosophy
A Hundred Years Hence: The Expectations of an Optimist
Russell, T. Baron
Forecasting; Twentieth century -- Forecasts
An attempt of this kind is exposed to facile criticism. It will be easy
for objectors to signalise this or that expected invention as beyond
scientific possibility, that or the other moral reform as fit only for
Utopia. But those who will consent to perpend the enormous and utterly
unforeseen advance of the nineteenth century will recognise the danger
of limiting their anticipations concerning the possibilities of the
twenty-first. A fanciful description in (I think) Addison's Spectator
of an invention by which the movements of an indicator on a lettered
dial were imagined to be reproduced on a similar dial at a distance,
and employed as a means of communication, must have seemed wholly
chimerical to its readers; and even as recently as fifty years ago,
anyone who predicted the telephone would have been laughed at. When
the principle of the accumulator was already discovered a very
competent practical electrician told the writer that he need not
worry himself much about the idea: there was not the least likelihood
that electricity could ever be "bottled up in cisterns"! On the whole
there is more likelihood of error in timidity than in boldness when
we attempt to foresee what will be attained after the increasingly
rapid movement of scientific progress during this twentieth century
shall have gathered full force.
For the rest, criticism of this sort is disarmed, because the reader
has been in any case invited to enter a realm of more or less pure
imagination. No one can exactly know with what births, monstrous or
beautiful, the future may teem. Admitting a certain point of view--that
of almost unrestrained optimism--the predictions here offered will,
it is believed, be found to be along the line of existing progress.
Beaufort House,
Brentford.
CONTENTS
CHAP. PAGE
I. The Rate of Progress 1
II. Housing, Travel and Population. Questions 13
III. The Man of Business 38
IV. The Cult of Pleasure 54
V. The Newspaper of the Future and the Future of
the Newspaper 68
VI. Utilising the Sea 95
VII. The March of Science 106
VIII. Education a Hundred Years Hence 134
IX. Religion: the Fine Arts, Literature 175
X. The Age of Economies 205
XI. The Law a Hundred Years Hence 233
XII. Conclusions 286
INDEX 309
A HUNDRED YEARS HENCE
CHAPTER I
THE RATE OF PROGRESS
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