A Philosophical Essay on ProbabilitiesLaplace, Pierre Simon, marquis de
Philosophy
A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities
Laplace, Pierre Simon, marquis de
Probabilities
If we form the product of the binomials, unity plus the first letter,
unity plus the second letter, unity plus the third letter, and so on up
to _n_ letters, and subtract unity from this developed product, the
result will be the sum of the combination of all these letters taken one
by one, two by two, three by three, etc., each combination having unity
for a coefficient. In order to have the number of combinations of these
_n_ letters taken _s_ by _s_ times, we shall observe that if we suppose
these letters equal among themselves, the preceding product will become
the _n_th power of the binomial one plus the first letter; thus the
number of combinations of _n_ letters taken _s_ by _s_ times will be the
coefficient of the _s_th power of the first letter in the development in
this binomial; and this number is obtained by means of the known
binomial formula.
Attention must be paid to the respective situations of the letters in
each combination, observing that if a second letter is joined to the
first it may be placed in the first or second position which gives two
combinations. If we join to these combinations a third letter, we can
give it in each combination the first, the second, and the third rank
which forms three combinations relative to each of the two others, in
all six combinations. From this it is easy to conclude that the number
of arrangements of which _s_ letters are susceptible is the product of
the numbers from unity to _s_. In order to pay regard to the respective
positions of the letters it is necessary then to multiply by this
product the number of combinations of _n_ letters _s_ by _s_ times,
which is tantamount to taking away the denominator of the coefficient of
the binomial which expresses this number.
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