A Quantitative Study of the Nocturnal Migration of BirdsLowery, George H., Jr.
Science
A Quantitative Study of the Nocturnal Migration of Birds
Lowery, George H., Jr.
Birds -- Migration
If the field of observation were cylindrical in shape, if it had
parallel sides, if its projection were a rectangle or a parallelogram,
the height at which birds are flying would not be a factor in finding
out their number. Then the sample would be of equal breadth
throughout, with an equally wide representation of the flight at all
levels. Since the field of observation is actually an inverted cone,
triangular in section, with diverging sides, the opportunity to detect
birds increases with their distance from the observer. The chances of
seeing the birds passing below an elevation midway to the flight
ceiling are only one-third as great as of seeing those passing above
that elevation, simply because the area of that part of the triangle
below the mid-elevation is only one-third as great as the area of that
part above the mid-elevation. If we assume that the ratio of the
visible number of birds to the number passing through the density
plane is the same as the ratio of the triangular section of the cone
to the total area of the plane, we are in effect assuming that the
density plane is made up of a series of triangles the size of the
sample, each intercepting approximately the same number of birds. We
are assuming that the same number of birds pass through the inverted
triangular sample as through the erect and uninvestigable triangle
beside it (as in Figure 11, Diagram II). In reality, the assumption is
sound only if the altitudinal distribution of migrants is uniform.
[Illustration: FIG. 11. Theoretical possibilities of
vertical distribution. Diagram I shows the effect of a
uniform vertical distribution of birds. The figures indicate
the number of birds in the respective areas. Here the sample
triangle, ABD, contains the same number of birds as the
upright triangle, ACD, adjacent to it; the density plane may
be conceived of as a series of such alternating triangles,
equal in their content of birds. Diagram II portrays, on an
exaggerated scale, the situation when many more birds are
flying below the median altitude than above it. In contrast
to the 152 birds occurring in the triangle A´C´D´, only
seventy-two are seen in the triangle A´B´D´. Obviously, the
latter triangle does not provide a representative sample of
the total number of birds intersecting the density plane.
Diagram III illustrates one method by which this difficulty
may be overcome. By lowering the line F´G´ to the median
altitude of bird density, F´´G´´ (the elevation above which
there are just as many birds as below), we are able to
determine a rectangular panel, HIJK, whose content of birds
provides a representative sample of the vertical
distribution.]
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