Nevertheless, whatever the distance may be, the sense of direction
must be most perceptible in those houses whose principal walls are at
right angles to the true direction of the earthquake-motion, and we
should therefore expect to find the observations of direction most
frequently made in such houses, or in others which approximate to this
situation. Thus, the average of all the observations within a fairly
small area should give a result not very far from the true direction
of the shock; and, the smaller the area and the farther from the
epicentre, the more reliable should be the result. Now, in Birmingham
the mean direction of the shock is E. 39° N., which differs only by 2°
from the line joining the city to the epicentre; in London it is E.
21° S., the difference being again 2°. In other cases, the
observations from different counties are grouped together, and the
mean direction is taken to correspond to the centre of the county.
Yet, even then, there is often a close agreement between the mean
direction of the shock and the direction of the county-centre from the
epicentre; the difference being not more than two or three degrees in
the counties of Buckingham, Devon, Stafford, Warwick, and York. In
other cases, where the deviation exceeds this amount, either the
number of observations is small or the county is near the epicentre
and so subtends a large angle.
Two results of some importance follow from this analysis: (1) that
while, with a few isolated observations, the "method of directions" is
almost sure to fail, with a large number of observations closely
grouped, the position of the epicentre may be determined with a fair
approach to accuracy; and (2) that, at any rate outside a radius of
forty miles, the earth-waves travelled in approximately straight lines
outwards from the epicentre.
COSEISMAL LINES AND VELOCITY OF EARTH-WAVES.
Coseismal lines were defined by Mallet as long ago as 1849, but, owing
to the difficulty of ascertaining the correct time, they have so far
been of little service in the investigation of earthquakes. In the
case of the Hereford earthquake, the distances traversed by the
earth-waves are small; but, on the other hand, the time-records are
numerous and frequently trustworthy to the nearest minute. Rejecting
all estimates earlier than 5.32 A.M., and later than 5.36, as well as
a number at 5.35, there remain fairly good observations from 381
places, and exceptionally accurate ones from 33 places. The latter
were obtained from signalmen and other careful observers who were in
possession of Greenwich time, or who compared their watches shortly
afterwards with well-regulated watches.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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