One single country--Czechoslovakia--has made the experiment on a modest
but sufficient scale. Comparatively free from the burden of internal
debt, and free also from serious budgetary deficits, Czechoslovakia was
able in the course of 1922, in pursuance of the policy of her Finance
Minister, Dr. Alois Rasin, to employ the proceeds of certain foreign
loans to improve the exchange value of the Czech crown to nearly three
times the rate which had been touched in the previous year. The policy
has cost her an industrial crisis and serious unemployment. To what
purpose? I do not know. Even now the Czech crown is not worth a sixth
of its pre-war parity; and it remains unstabilised, fluttering before
the breath of the seasons and the wind of politics. Is, therefore, the
process of appreciation to continue indefinitely? If not, when and at
what point is stabilisation to be effected? Czechoslovakia was better
placed than any country in Europe to establish her economic life on the
basis of a sound and fixed currency. Her finances were in equilibrium,
her credit good, her foreign resources adequate, and no one could have
blamed her for devaluating the crown, ruined by no fault of hers and
inherited from the Habsburg Empire. Pursuing a misguided policy in a
spirit of stern virtue, she preferred the stagnation of her industries
and a still fluctuating standard.[41]
[41] I cannot criticise the work, in his second term of
office (1922), of Dr. Rasin, now fallen by the hand of
an assassin, without reference to his great achievement
during his first term (1919) in rescuing his country’s
currency from the surrounding chaos. The stamping of the
Austrian notes and the levy on holders of titles to money
which accompanied it was the only drastic, courageous, and
successful measure of finance carried through anywhere in
Europe at that epoch; the story of it from Dr. Rasin’s
own pen can be read in his _The Financial Policy of
Czecho-Slovakia_. Before he had finished other influences
became dominant. But, when in 1922 this austere and
disinterested Minister returned to office, he missed, in my
judgment, his opportunity. He could have completed his task
by establishing the currency on a fixed and stable basis,
instead of which he used his great authority to disorder
trade by a futile process of Deflation.
* * * * *
If the restoration of many European currencies to their pre-war parity
with gold is neither desirable nor possible, what are the forces or the
arguments which have established this undesirable impossibility as the
avowed policy of most of them? The following are the most important:
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