A Treatise on the Plague and Yellow Fever: With an Appendix, containing histories of the plague at Athens in the time of the Peloponnesian War; at Constantinople in the time of Justinian; at London in 1665; at Marseilles in 1720Tytler, James
History
A Treatise on the Plague and Yellow Fever: With an Appendix, containing histories of the plague at Athens in the time of the Peloponnesian War; at Constantinople in the time of Justinian; at London in 1665; at Marseilles in 1720
Tytler, James
Plague -- Early works to 1800; Yellow fever -- Early works to 1800
From these accounts it appears, as Dr. Alexander Russel informs us,
that the plague of one year differs remarkably from that of another;
but he says, that, at Aleppo, it is never attended with such scenes of
horror as have been known in European countries; for which Dr. Patrick
assigns the following reasons: 1. The markets are constantly supplied
with provisions. 2. The dread of the contagion is much less. 3. The
sick are less liable to be deserted by their attendants (but this,
according to his own observation, is not always the case) and 4. The
regular, speedy interment of the dead prevents a spectacle far from
uncommon in the European plagues, and which of all others is the most
shocking to humanity.
“Extreme heat (says Dr. Alexander) seems to check the progress of the
distemper. July is a hotter month than June, and the season wherein the
plague ceases at Aleppo is that in which the heats are most excessive.”
His experience did not confirm a popular opinion at Aleppo, and which
has likewise been adopted by many medical writers, that the moon has
any influence on the distemper. To have had the distemper once does
not secure a person against future attacks. Numbers of people who were
alive when he left Aleppo had it twice or oftener; and he had instances
of some being infected thrice in one season. Dr. Patrick Russel has
observations to the same purpose.
From this it appears, that the popular opinion at Aleppo, which Mr.
McLean wishes to establish as a certainty, is by no means so well
founded that we can build any theory upon it. The misfortune is, that,
wherever a theory is built upon any thing said to be constant and
invariable, a single failure overturns the whole. Now, in the dates
of plagues above mentioned, the variations are so great that it is
impossible to draw any certain conclusion from them. In the first
three instances of 1719, 1729 and 1733 there is indeed a coincidence of
the first two, but the last falls short by no less than _six_ years.
What then does Mr. McLean mean by his “ten years, or _thereabouts_?”
Can _thereabouts_ imply a difference of more than half? The English
gentleman’s testimony who resided 30 years in that country could extend
no further than to three plagues, and even these are not mentioned. The
fourth instance in 1742 is deficient in one year; the fifth in 1757 or
1758 exceeds by three or four years, and the sixth from 1762 to 1787 by
no less than fifteen years.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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