A year of prophesyingWells, H. G. (Herbert George)
History
A year of prophesying
Wells, H. G. (Herbert George)
Civilization, Modern -- 20th century; Europe -- History -- 20th century; Great Britain -- History -- 20th century
The fifteenth and sixteenth centuries saw the opening phases of a great
process of change in human conditions that has been going on until the
present time. From the point of view of one who discusses political
or economic agglomerations, the most important thing in that great
revolution has been the development of new means of communication
between man and man. That revolution began with the appearance of
the ocean-going sailing ship and of printed paper; it reaches its
climax nowadays in wireless telegraphy and the aeroplane. It is now
a commonplace, though for many historians and scholars it is quite
a recent discovery, that any change in communications involves new
economic, strategic and political adjustments. For a score of centuries
the horse, the horse-drawn vehicle, the hand-made high-road, the
parchment document, the public speaker and vocal teacher and a feeble
coastal shipping had been the limiting conditions of all statecraft.
Under these conditions the idea of the Empire had been the highest
political idea in men’s minds. Now, however, in that age of Renascence,
the ocean which had been an ultimate barrier became almost suddenly
a highway; and the printed book, and, presently, the newspaper
quickened masses in the community, hitherto politically ineffective,
into informed activity. The politics and statecraft of Europe,
obsessed--still to this day obsessed--by the doomed Imperial tradition,
began nevertheless a clumsy slow adaptation to this process of material
change, unable to ignore its pressures and compulsions, but evidently
indisposed to recognise its nature.
I use this word “indisposed” deliberately. The political mind, like the
legal mind to which it is so closely akin, looks backward habitually,
prefers precedents to Utopias, clings to the old and is pushed along by
the new. Europe clings still to the Imperial tradition four centuries
after it became impracticable; its kindred peoples are divided and they
destroy one another in the feuds of a dead issue. Frenchman and German
waste Europe, as Asia Minor was wasted by Byzantine and Persian, in a
futile search for a kind of supremacy that can never return to this
world. They are like rivals who fight for a woman already dead and
decayed.
Continental Europe is being desolated and destroyed by imaginative
incapacity, by the failure to recognise the obsolescence of its
political ideas and traditions. But Europe is not the world, nor will
its decline and fall be the end of the human story. In the United
States of America, in this so-called British Empire, and now in the
United States of Russia, we must recognise a breaking away from
tradition as complete as when the Roman Empire broke away from the
forms and traditions of any previous political synthesis. These new
systems arise not to inherit, but to supersede.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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