A year of prophesyingWells, H. G. (Herbert George)
History
A year of prophesying
Wells, H. G. (Herbert George)
Civilization, Modern -- 20th century; Europe -- History -- 20th century; Great Britain -- History -- 20th century
These remarks are provoked by the fact that Mr. Asquith and his
associated and rival Liberal leaders--I can never tell which is
which--are now engaged in unfurling the Banner of Free Trade in Great
Britain. Encumbered with an immense and growing burden of unemployed
workmen Britain is thinking of all sorts of eleventh-hour expedients.
Schemes of preference within the Empire, leading towards an Empire
Zollverein, are very much to the fore. And in reply this old Free
Trade, which figured so largely in the political history of Victorian
times, is to be brought out of the shed again, and furbished up and
sent round the country to see what it will do for Liberalism.
Now nothing could be more typical than Free Trade of this peculiar
incompleteness of the political methods of the “giants” of the “heroic”
Victorian Age to which I have already called attention. It is a
one-wheeled, engineless, body-less Liberal automobile. It is a project
to keep down one’s natural frontier in respect to inward and outward
trade, and it ignores all the correlated measures that should go with
this most desirable abolition. It ignores the fact that nearly all the
separate sovereign competitive States into which the world is divided
are always actively engaged in mutual injury, sometimes frankly in open
warfare but always by fiscal trickery, monetary tactics, diversion
of trade, and the like amiable activities. True Free Trade must
be mutual. One-sided Free Trade is like disarmament in the face of
malignant military preparation. And if there is to be real Free Trade
between any two countries then certain other things follow necessarily,
though they never appear on the party programmes and banners.
Production will tend to gravitate to the regions of maximum advantage,
and so there must also be a free movement of population over the
frontiers to the regions of most advantageous employment. If there
is not such free movement, then one of the States may suffer from
unemployment in this or that industry and social degeneration while
the other is enjoying high wages. But movement of population and the
shifting of many industries across frontiers will affect military
efficiency, and so there can be no real Free Trade between any two
countries unless they are ensured not only against mutual attack but by
a mutual guarantee against attack.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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