A year of prophesyingWells, H. G. (Herbert George)
History
A year of prophesying
Wells, H. G. (Herbert George)
Civilization, Modern -- 20th century; Europe -- History -- 20th century; Great Britain -- History -- 20th century
It is a peculiarity of the mind of Mr. Keynes that it is at once
penetrating and limited. He seems to think that the British Empire is
a permanent instead of a manifestly transitory arrangement and that
the United States of America and the Empire and the various States
of the European patchwork are always going to retain their sovereign
independence in financial and economic affairs. He assumes this much,
and never questions it. But within the limits of this assumption, he
writes with a lucidity and a frankness that are a liberal education for
the reader.
To write of currency is generally recognised as an objectionable, and
indeed almost as an indecent, practice. Editors will implore a writer
almost tearfully not to write about money. This is not because it is
an uninteresting subject, but because it is, and always has been, a
profoundly disturbing subject. The whole modern world has been brought
up on cash and on credit reckoned in terms of money. Four or five
generations of us have lived by the faith that a dollar was a dollar
and a pound a pound, and that if you left them about they grew at so
much per cent. per annum, and also increased in value. Most things
became cheaper and cheaper throughout our young lives. That cheapening
seemed in the nature of things. We worked for money; we saved the
stuff, we looked forward to a comfortable old age. Now we live in a
phase of fluctuating and on the whole mounting prices. Whosoever saveth
his money shall lose it. Even the dollar buys two things where ten
years ago it bought three. The pound sterling is in a worse case, and
many of the other currencies have sunken to levels beyond the wildest
fantasies of 1913.
Now this, as Mr. Keynes points out, is a breach of the understanding
between society and the common individual. In this system in which we
and our predecessors have lived for a century and more, the system
which Socialists will call the “Capitalist” system but which Mr. Keynes
much more properly calls the “Private Capitalist” system, there has
always been an implicit guarantee that the money we worked for and
saved up and lent and invested in various ways was _good_. It was
good for our needs whenever we chose to spend it again. This was the
incentive to work; this was the driving force of the whole hundred
years of industrial production from Waterloo to the Marne. And to a
large extent the incentive has gone. Money is no longer good; it has
become treacherous. Unless it can be restored this system of ours must
break down and lead either to social chaos and human decadence or to a
new and different system.
Now Mr. Keynes is not a Socialist. He believes that the existing
system of individual competition is “in accordance with human nature
and has great advantages.” But it cannot go on unless money is made
trustworthy again. And his proposals to restore our confidence in money
are very bold and remarkable indeed.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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