A year of prophesyingWells, H. G. (Herbert George)
History
A year of prophesying
Wells, H. G. (Herbert George)
Civilization, Modern -- 20th century; Europe -- History -- 20th century; Great Britain -- History -- 20th century
The vice, the almost incurable vice, of cash and credit systems, since
first the methods of money became dominant in the Roman Republic,
has been its tendency to expand debt to impossible dimensions. Every
country at the end of the war found itself owing preposterous sums
to the creditor class or to foreign countries, and forced in various
measure to tax the productive classes, to tax its creditor class either
directly by income-tax and capital levy, or indirectly by currency
inflation, and to bilk its foreign creditors. Every sovereign State in
Europe had its own policy and set about the business on its own lines,
with the result that to-day Europe is a museum of methods of economic
collapse, from Britain, crushed by taxation and unemployment in an
attempt to deflate back to the gold standard, to Germany, smashed into
complete economic paralysis by extreme currency inflation. No country
remains now with its currency based on a gold standard, not even the
United States of America. True, you can exchange dollar bills for gold
at Washington, but then you lose by the transaction. The United States
has over-bought gold and is still accumulating and hoarding gold--at a
loss. If all America’s hoarded gold were minted and circulated, the
value of the dollar would fall. The American dollar is the extreme
case of deflation, as the exploded German mark was the extreme case of
inflation.
Now what Mr. Keynes wants the world to do is to scrap gold altogether
as a monetary standard and to substitute a “managed” currency. For the
present he would have two independent units in the world, the dollar
and the pound, because he is sceptical of the Americans and British
ever working together without friction--even in so vitally important
a matter. In both the United States and Britain he would have the
banks and Treasury co-operating to keep in circulation such an amount
of currency as would maintain internal prices at a steady level. They
would decrease currency if prices fell, and increase it if they rose.
He would take the price of a “standard, composite commodity”--so much
steel, so much wheat, so much rice, so much rubber, and so on--and he
would make that the new standard of value. He believes that the other
currencies in the world would finally steady down into fairly stable
relations with the “managed” dollar and the “managed” pound. And then
we would go on again with our “Private Capitalism,” buying, selling,
saving, investing, competing, as we did in the happy days before the
war.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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