About sugar buying for jobbers : $b how you can lessen business risks by trading in refined sugar futures — John Shaqi
About sugar buying for jobbers : $b how you can lessen business risks by trading in refined sugar futuresDyer, B. W. (Benjamin Wheeler)
General
About sugar buying for jobbers : $b how you can lessen business risks by trading in refined sugar futures
Dyer, B. W. (Benjamin Wheeler)
Sugar
It is equally obvious that the differential should approximate the
freight rate between Chicago and the Seaboard, where the refiners are
located, with allowance also for the cash discount. When the markets
are in line such is the case. Conversely, when the differential is
higher or lower, the markets are out of line.
Therefore, in order to tell whether the markets are out of line, or to
what extent, it is necessary to determine on a differential to
represent the normal difference between the two markets. There is no
one figure, however, that will satisfy all conditions at all times, for
the reason that there are various freight rates between the Seaboard
and Chicago. It is inaccurate, for instance, to use 63¢ as the basis
for the normal differential. The 63¢ rate is one rate--the all-rail
freight rate from New York to Chicago.
Other important routes and rates are as follows:
Routing: Freight Rate:
New Orleans--Chicago (barge and rail) $0.50[1]
New York--Chicago (rail and lake) .58
New Orleans--Chicago (all rail) .60
Philadelphia--Chicago (all rail) .61
New York--Chicago (all rail) .63
Savannah--Chicago (all rail) .63
Boston--Chicago (all rail) .63
[1] The cheapest routing (48¢) takes about two weeks' more time
in transit than the New York all-rail routing (63¢). Interest
charges on finances involved, etc., for this extra period will
bring the expense of this routing to approximately 50¢.
After a study of the amounts of sugar shipped over these various routes
we have arrived at an arbitrary figure to represent the normal
differential between refiners' prices and exchange quotations. We
believe that 57¢ will serve as a safe basis for calculation, but 58¢ or
59¢ might be equally--or more--accurate. In fact, anyone is entitled to
an opinion. 57¢ is our opinion. It is not an average of freight rates,
but is an arbitrary figure.
When the markets are in line, using 57¢ as a basis for calculation, 2%
should be deducted from refiners' prices, and 57¢ added to determine
what Exchange quotation should be. Conversely, 57¢ should be deducted
from Exchange quotations and 2% added to determine what refiners'
prices should be.
If you are willing to accept 57¢ as a safe figure, you may find the
following chart useful in determining the condition of the market:
ARE REFINERS' PRICES AND EXCHANGE QUOTATIONS IN LINE?
Based on a 57¢ differential and 2% cash discount
When Exchange
Refiners' Quotations
Prices Are Should Be
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