After the Rain : how the West lost the EastVaknin, Samuel
History
After the Rain : how the West lost the East
Vaknin, Samuel
Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- 1989-; Europe, Eastern -- Politics and government -- 1989-
The money thus smuggled is kept in low-yielding cash deposits. To
escape the cruel fate of inflationary corrosion, it has to be
reinvested. It is stealthily re-introduced to the very economy that it
so sought to evade, in the form of investment capital or other
financial assets (loans and credits). Its anxious owners are
preoccupied with legitimising their stillborn cash through the conduit
of tax-fearing enterprises, or with lending it to same. The emphasis is
on the word: "legitimate". The money surges in through mysterious and
anonymous foreign corporations, via off-shore banking centres, even
through respectable financial institutions (the Bank of New York we
mentioned?). It is easy to recognize a laundering operation. Its
hallmark is a pronounced lack of selectivity. The money is invested in
anything and everything, as long as it appears legitimate.
Diversification is not sought by these nouveau tycoons and they have no
core investment strategy. They spread their illicit funds among dozens
of disparate economic activities and show not the slightest interest in
the putative yields on their investments, the maturity of their assets,
the quality of their newly acquired businesses, their history, or real
value. Never the sedulous, they pay exorbitantly for all manner of
prestidigital endeavours. The future prospects and other normal
investment criteria are beyond them. All they are after is a mirage of
lapidarity.
The Investors
This is the most intriguing group. Normative, law abiding, businessmen,
who stumbled across methods to secure excessive yields on their capital
and are looking to borrow their way into increasing it. By cleverly
participating in bond tenders, by devising ingenious option strategies,
or by arbitraging - yields of up to 300% can be collected in the
immature markets of transition without the normally associated risks.
These sub-species can be found mainly in Russia and in the Balkans.
Its members often buy sovereign bonds and notes at discounts of up to
80% of their face value. Russian obligations could be had for less in
August 1998 and Macedonian ones during the Kosovo crisis. In cahoots
with the issuing country's central bank, they then convert the
obligations to local currency at par (=for 100% of their face value).
The difference makes, needless to add, for an immediate and hefty
profit, yet it is in (often worthless and vicissitudinal) local
currency. The latter is then hurriedly disposed of (at a discount) and
sold to multinationals with operations in the country of issue, which
are in need of local tender. This fast becomes an almost addictive
avocation.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account