After the Rain : how the West lost the EastVaknin, Samuel
History
After the Rain : how the West lost the East
Vaknin, Samuel
Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- 1989-; Europe, Eastern -- Politics and government -- 1989-
Intoxicated by this pecuniary nectar, the fortunate, those privy to the
secret, try to raise more capital by hunting for financial instruments
they can convert to cash in Western banks. A bank guarantee, a
promissory note, a confirmed letter of credit, a note or a bond
guaranteed by the Central Bank - all will do as deposited collateral
against which a credit line is established and cash is drawn. The cash
is then invested in a new cycle of inebriation to yield fantastic
profits.
It is easy to identify these "investors". They eagerly seek financial
instruments from almost any local bank, no matter how suspect. They
offer to pay for these coveted documents (bank guarantees, bankers'
acceptances, letters of credit) either in cash or by lending to the
bank's clients and this within a month or more from the date of their
issuance. They agree to "cancel" the locally issued financial
instruments by offering a "counter-financial-instrument" (safe keeping
receipt, contra-guarantee, counter promissory note, etc.). This
"counter-instrument" is issued by the very Prime World or European Bank
in which the locally issued financial instruments are deposited as
collateral.
The Investors invariably confidently claim that the financial
instrument issued by the local bank will never be presented or used
(which is true) and that this is a risk free transaction (which is not
entirely so). If they are forced to lend to the bank's clients, they
often ignore the quality of the credit takers, the yields, the
maturities and other considerations, which normally tend to interest
lenders very much.
Whether a financial instrument cancelled by another is still valid,
presentable and should be honoured by its issuer is still debated. In
some cases it is clearly so. If something goes horribly (and rarely,
admittedly) wrong with these transactions - the local bank stands to
suffer, too.
It all boils down to a terrible hunger, the kind of thirst that can be
quelled only by the denominated liquidity of lucre. In the post nuclear
landscape of this part of the world, a fantasy is shared by both
predators and prey. Circling each other in marble temples, they switch
their roles in dizzying progression. Tycoons and politicians,
industrialists and bureaucrats all vie for the attention of Mammon. The
shifting coalitions of well-groomed man in back stabbed suits, an
hallucinatory carousel of avarice and guile. But every circus folds and
every luna park is destined to shut down. The dying music, the frozen
accounts of the deceived, the bankrupt banks, the Jurassic Park of
skeletal industrial beasts - a muted testimony to a wild age of mutual
assured destruction and self deceit. The future of Eastern and South
Europe. The present of Russia, Albania and Yugoslavia.
Return
The Typology of Financial Scandals
Tulipmania - this is the name coined for the first pyramid investment
scheme in history.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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