After the Rain : how the West lost the EastVaknin, Samuel
History
After the Rain : how the West lost the East
Vaknin, Samuel
Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- 1989-; Europe, Eastern -- Politics and government -- 1989-
It was against this backdrop, that a few entrepreneurs and religious
figures in Egypt and in Pakistan established what they called: "Islamic
banks". These banks refrained from either paying interest to depositors
- or from charging their clients interest on the loans that they doled
out. Instead, they have made their depositors partners in fictitious
profits - and have charged their clients for fictitious losses. All
would have been well had the Islamic banks stuck to healthier business
practices.
But they offer impossibly high "profits" and ended the way every
pyramid ends: they collapsed and dragged economies and political
establishments with them.
The latest example of the price paid by whole nations due to failed
pyramid schemes is, of course, Albania 1997. One third of the
population was heavily involved in a series of heavily leveraged
investment plans, which collapsed almost simultaneously. Inept
political and financial crisis management led Albania to the verge of
disintegration into civil war.
But why must pyramid schemes fail? Why can't they continue forever,
riding on the back of new money and keeping every investor happy, new
and old?
The reason is that the number of new investors - and, therefore, the
amount of new money available to the pyramid's organizers - is limited.
There are just so many risk takers. The day of judgement is heralded by
an ominous mismatch between overblown obligations and the trickling
down of new money. When there is no more money available to pay off the
old investors, panic ensues. Everyone wants to draw money at the same
time. This, evidently, is never possible - some of the money is usually
invested in real estate or was provided as a loan. Even the most stable
and healthiest financial institutions never put aside more than 10% of
the money deposited with them.
Thus, pyramids are doomed to collapse.
But, then, most of the investors in pyramids know that pyramids are
scams, not schemes. They stand warned by the collapse of other pyramid
schemes, sometimes in the same place and at the same time. Still, they
are attracted again and again as butterflies are to the fire and with
the same results.
The reason is as old as human psychology: greed, avarice. The
organizers promise the investors two things: (1) that they could draw
their money anytime that they want to and (2) that in the meantime,
they will be able to continue to receive high returns on their money.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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