After the Rain : how the West lost the EastVaknin, Samuel
History
After the Rain : how the West lost the East
Vaknin, Samuel
Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- 1989-; Europe, Eastern -- Politics and government -- 1989-
In 1634, tulip bulbs were traded in a special exchange in Amsterdam.
People used these bulbs as means of exchange and value store. They
traded them and speculated in them. The rare black tulip bulbs were as
valuable as a big mansion house. The craze lasted four years and it
seemed that it would last forever. But this was not to be.
The bubble burst in 1637. In a matter of a few days, the price of tulip
bulbs was slashed by 96%!
This specific pyramid investment scheme was somewhat different from the
ones, which were to follow it in human financial history elsewhere in
the world. It had no "organizing committee", no identifiable group of
movers and shakers, which controlled and directed it. Also, no explicit
promises were ever made concerning the profits, which the investors
could expect from participating in the scheme - or even that profits
were forthcoming to them.
Since then, pyramid schemes have evolved into intricate psychological
ploys.
Modern ones have a few characteristics in common:
First, they involve ever growing numbers of people. They mushroom
exponentially into proportions that usually threaten the national
economy and the very fabric of society. All of them have grave
political and social implications.
Hundreds of thousands of investors (in a population of less than 3.5
million souls) were deeply enmeshed in the 1983 banking crisis in
Israel.
This was a classic pyramid scheme: the banks offered their own shares
for sale, promising investors that the price of the shares will only go
up (sometimes by 2% daily). The banks used depositors' money, their
capital, their profits and money that they borrowed abroad to keep this
impossible and unhealthy promise. Everyone knew what was going on and
everyone was involved.
The Ministers of Finance, the Governors of the Central Bank assisted
the banks in these criminal pursuits. This specific pyramid scheme -
arguably, the longest in history - lasted 7 years.
On one day in October 1983, ALL the banks in Israel collapsed. The
government faced such civil unrest that it was forced to compensate
shareholders through an elaborate share buyback plan, which lasted 9
years. The total indirect damage is hard to evaluate, but the direct
damage amounted to 6 billion USD.
This specific incident highlights another important attribute of
pyramid schemes: investors are promised impossibly high yields, either
by way of profits or by way of interest paid. Such yields cannot be
derived from the proper investment of the funds - so, the organizers
resort to dirty tricks.
They use new money, invested by new investors - to pay off the old
investors.
The religion of Islam forbids lenders to charge interest on the credits
that they provide. This prohibition is problematic in modern day life
and could bring modern finance to a complete halt.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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