After the Rain : how the West lost the EastVaknin, Samuel
History
After the Rain : how the West lost the East
Vaknin, Samuel
Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- 1989-; Europe, Eastern -- Politics and government -- 1989-
But these unfortunate derivatives of social activity can be minimized
by the adoption of clear procurement policies, transparent and public
decision making processes and the right mix of supervision, auditing
and prosecution. Even then the result is bound to be dubious, at best.
Return
Liquidity or Liquidation
Large parts of the world today suffer from a severe liquidity crisis.
The famed globalisation of the capital markets seems to confine itself,
ever more, to the richer parts, the more liquid exchanges, and the more
affluent geopolitical neighbourhoods. The fad of "emerging economies"
has all but died out. Try telling the Macedonians about global capital
markets: last year, the whole world invested 8 million USD in their
poor country. Breadwinners earn 300 DM a month on average. Officially,
in excess of one third of the workforce is unemployed. Small wonder
that people do not pay their bills, employers do not pay salaries, the
banking system has a marked tendency to crash every now and then and
the average real default rate is 50%.
Illiquidity erodes the trust between the economic players. Such trust
is a precondition to the existence of a thriving, modern economy. We
all postpone the gratification of our desires: we save now and consume
later, for instance or we sell goods or services and get paid a month
later. Such postponement of gratification is at the heart of the
economic machine of the new age. It cannot be achieved, however, if the
players do not trust each other to fulfil their promises (to pay, for
example). Alternatively, the state can instate an efficient court
system, aided by active law enforcement agencies. Keeping promises can
be imposed to counter the natural tendency to ignore them.
The countries in transition lack both: liquidity necessary to keep
one's monetary word and the legal system to force him to do so if he
reneges. Small wonder that solutions are actively being sought by all
involved: the business community, the state, the courts and even by
consumers.
In this article, we will describe a few of the global trends. The
trends are global, the reaction is world-wide because the problem is
global. Bouncing checks have become a household reality in places as
rich as Israel, for instance. The mounting crisis in Southeast Asia
foreshadows bankruptcies and delinquencies on a chilling scale.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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