After the stock market crash of November, 1929 : $b A supplementary chapter to the psychology of speculation issued in 1926 — John Shaqi
After the stock market crash of November, 1929 : $b A supplementary chapter to the psychology of speculation issued in 1926Harper, Henry Howard
General
After the stock market crash of November, 1929 : $b A supplementary chapter to the psychology of speculation issued in 1926
Harper, Henry Howard
Depressions -- 1929; Speculation; Stock exchanges
their savings into the melting pot with more confidence than as if
they were putting them into a savings bank. Many of the trusts were
legitimate; others were disguised gambling pools operating on other
people’s money, along the lines proposed by the late “Tom” Lawson in
the memorable advertising campaign he conducted in Bay State Gas.
In most cases these gambling ventures were sponsored by names that
inspired confidence; and those who bought participation certificates
would undoubtedly have won if the stock market had never stopped going
up. It was generally supposed that such men could not go financially
wrong--and they didn’t; it was the public that went wrong in buying
their certificates. One company after another launched its stock with
great display advertisements, and no hungry trout ever bit at a fly
with more avidity than the greedy public gobbled up these “investment”
issues. Sober-minded people marvelled at the spectacle and wondered
where all the money came from. In dozens of cases the advertisements
stated that the stock had already been oversubscribed, and the notice
appeared only as a matter of record. And so it happened that time and
again the insatiate public was obliged to restrap its purse and wait
for some new opportunity to be let in. It got so that many people felt
it was about as difficult to get into these “closed” issues as it was
to gain a membership in one of New York’s fashionable clubs.
Many of these so-called investment trusts accumulated thousands upon
thousands of highly speculative common shares that paid less than 2%
income on their market value. Indeed one day in September, 1929, a
statistician figured that the twelve most active stocks on the New
York Stock Exchange averaged a return of only one and three-fifths
per cent. on their selling price, and with no immediate prospect of
increased dividends. With dozens of investment companies hoarding
securities, all one had to do was buy the active stocks, hold them for
a big rise, then unload them onto some new investment trust. The pot
was kept boiling by all sorts of rumors of stock dividends, split-ups,
consolidations and such-like enticements; and when things quieted
down a bit, someone would bring out the old reliable rumor that while
the public was taking a breathing spell the big bankers were quietly
accumulating large lines. It worked like magic on the inflamed public
mind--it always does. If the bankers are buying, why shouldn’t the
public buy? Another popular device was to broadcast reports accredited
to Messrs. Coolidge & Mellon, to the effect that after scanning the
speculative horizon they could discover no reason why the market should
not keep on going up. With such a bulwark of confidence there was but
little reason to be afraid. It did not matter whether stocks paid small
dividends, or no dividends. It did not matter if money loaned at ten,
twelve, or fifteen per cent. The rise in values would take care of
all that, with ample to spare.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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