Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
Students who may take up this book for serious study will get the
greatest good from it by following prices of agricultural products from
day to day and month to month, and noting when the relationship is
normal and when abnormal. In this way they will acquire habits of
intelligent observation of price trends that should prove of very great
value to them when they get into business for themselves.
If this book is used as a college text, it is hoped that it will be by
classes which are especially concerned in applying statistical laws to
agricultural prices. Such classes should have free access to calculating
machines, multiplying tables, etc., and should make a serious effort to
work out various ratios and also to work out supply and demand laws for
various farm products by means of correlation coefficients, lines of
regression, etc. The tables given in the appendix should be of some
value as a source of raw material. For further material, it is suggested
that the Year Books of the United States Department of Agriculture, the
Monthly Crop Reporters of the Bureau of Crop Estimates, and the Reports
of the Chicago Board of Trade be consulted. A good book on correlation
coefficients, etc., is Yule’s Theory of Statistics. The teacher of the
suggested class in agricultural price statistics should simplify the
mathematics to mere method, not concerning himself or his pupils with
the theory back of it all. Wherever possible, the teacher should study
very carefully the January and April, 1919, volumes of The Review of
Economic Statistics, published by the Harvard University Press. The
methods as exemplified in these volumes can very profitably be applied
to the field of agricultural prices.
Acknowledgement is made to Professors J. M. Evvard and E. G. Nourse, of
the Iowa State College, and to Professor F. A. Pearson, of the
University of Illinois, for criticisms and helpful suggestions.
HENRY A. WALLACE.
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